Valencia vs Virtus Bologna, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueThu 19 Nov, 20:00

Roig Arena

Prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

Valencia are clear favourites: 80% to win

Valencia 80%20% Virtus Bologna
Projected score
95–87
Expected margin
Valenciaby 9
Total points
~182

Valencia’s chance: our ratings say 86%, the bookmakers (4) 76%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

The box score appears here once the game tips off.

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