Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA

NBAMon 16 Nov, 02:00

Golden

Prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 80% to win

Sacramento Kings 20%80% Oklahoma City Thunder
Projected score
105–115
Expected margin
Oklahoma City Thunderby 10
Total points
~221

Sacramento Kings’s chance: our ratings say 19%, the bookmakers (9) 21%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

The box score appears here once the game tips off.

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