Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat, NBA
NBAMon 9 Nov, 02:00
Golden
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento Kings | 30 | 29 | 22 | 27 | 108 |
| Miami Heat | 34 | 34 | 23 | 23 | 114 |
Our prediction
This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)We picked Miami Heat (73%)Correct
Sacramento Kings 27%73% Miami Heat
- Projected score
- 116–123
- Final 108–114
- Expected margin
by 7- Total points
- ~239
- Actual 222
Sacramento Kings’s chance: our ratings say 28%, the bookmakers (8) 26%. The figure above weighs the two.
How we predict this
Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.
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