Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic, NBA

NBAFri 6 Nov, 02:00

Mortgage Matchup Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Phoenix Suns33303321117
Orlando Magic26252231104
Phoenix SunsOrlando Magic
45/87 (52%)Field goals39/81 (48%)
17/34 (50%)3-pointers13/38 (34%)
10/13 (77%)Free throws13/24 (54%)
33Rebounds48
30Assists28
14Steals9
3Blocks3
15Turnovers25

Phoenix Suns

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Devin Booker33:36301811-224-84-4
Dillon Brooks29:0224119-164-62-2
Miles Bridges30:33181356-103-63-3
Luke Kennard20:5212154-83-61-2
R. Dunn25:0511335-71-20-0
K. Maluach21:538624-60-00-0
Jalen Green24:006033-70-10-0
Collin Gillespie23:356222-92-50-0
O. Ighodaro24:062511-20-00-2
J. Bouyea01:480000-00-00-0
K. Peat01:540100-00-00-0
Duop Reath01:480000-00-00-0
Patrick Spencer01:480000-00-00-0

Orlando Magic

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Wendell Carter34:122713210-122-25-6
T. da Silva30:0818216-154-122-2
Desmond Bane32:2515605-123-92-3
Franz Wagner37:50158157-130-11-4
J. Richardson26:2010234-92-40-0
Anthony Black30:5710763-81-33-4
Jamal Cain24:435502-91-60-1
Goga Bitadze08:194502-20-00-4
Jevon Carter02:550000-00-00-0
Colin Castleton01:480010-00-00-0
A. Morales06:010000-00-00-0
Nikola Vucevic04:220000-10-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Orlando Magic (51%)Missed

Phoenix Suns 49%51% Orlando Magic
Projected score
112–113
Final 117–104
Expected margin
Coin flip
Total points
~224
Actual 221

Phoenix Suns’s chance: our ratings say 47%, the bookmakers (9) 50%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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