Olimpia Milano vs Valencia, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueThu 5 Nov, 19:30

Unipol Forum

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Olimpia Milano1522221473
Valencia2416113384
Olimpia MilanoValencia
19/35 (54%)Field goals34/74 (46%)
7/25 (28%)3-pointers12/34 (35%)
16/14 (114%)Free throws4/4 (100%)
23Rebounds37
18Assists19
6Steals11
2Blocks1
17Turnovers16

Olimpia Milano

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Leandro Bolmaro18:5316536-111-33-3
Ousmane Diop19:5911434-70-04-3
Giampaolo Ricci16:3110000-13-52-1
R.J. Cole27:499253-71-12-2
Marko Guduric20:079123-80-53-3
Moses Wright19:046403-70-00-0
Alec Peters16:335211-31-32-2
Devon Hall23:093221-11-10-0
Jason Burnell13:262111-30-10-0
Darius Thompson21:382211-60-50-0
Garrison Mathews02:510000-10-10-0

Valencia

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Kameron Taylor26:0417546-113-62-2
Armoni Brooks21:0816305-104-92-2
T.J. Shorts22:5915357-131-20-0
Neal Sako18:4314517-100-00-0
Dylan Osetkowski25:306412-92-70-0
Josep Puerto14:305102-71-40-0
A. Cardenas12:323441-41-20-0
O. Moore05:552201-10-00-0
Gonzala Corbalan15:342321-40-20-0
L. Mari15:482311-30-10-0
Jasiel Rivero21:172411-20-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Valencia (58%)Correct

Olimpia Milano 42%58% Valencia
Projected score
88–90
Final 73–84
Expected margin
Valenciaby 2
Total points
~179
Actual 157

Olimpia Milano’s chance: our ratings say 36%, the bookmakers (9) 46%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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