Lyon-Villeurbanne vs Bayern, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueThu 5 Nov, 19:00

LDLC Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Lyon-Villeurbanne2124212995
Bayern2025282699
Lyon-VilleurbanneBayern
21/35 (60%)Field goals32/45 (71%)
13/25 (52%)3-pointers4/17 (24%)
17/14 (121%)Free throws28/23 (122%)
18Rebounds26
23Assists26
7Steals7
1Blocks3
16Turnovers15

Lyon-Villeurbanne

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Patty Mills25:5222019-164-80-0
Both Gach22:1818023-53-34-3
Hugo Besson20:4611325-71-10-0
Tyty Washington24:589423-41-12-2
Joel Bolomboy25:158224-50-00-0
Nate Sestina11:506410-11-24-3
Yves Pons16:515201-21-12-2
Tremont Waters08:285042-81-60-0
Jae Crowder18:074281-30-03-2
Edwin Jackson09:113101-31-30-0
M. O. Dada Fodzo07:202010-00-02-2
Bodian Massa09:042001-10-00-0

Bayern

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Austin Wiley23:3922928-90-08-6
Vladimir Lucic24:3218186-80-16-6
Justinian Jessup19:0714514-91-45-5
Johannes Thiemann20:0213246-60-13-1
Rokas Jokubaitis28:1913052-22-24-3
MarJon Beauchamp20:478304-80-30-0
Andreas Obst24:205221-71-32-2
Kamar Baldwin11:414112-60-20-0
Johannes Voigtmann16:212221-20-00-0
M. Norris11:120110-20-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Lyon-Villeurbanne (58%)Missed

Lyon-Villeurbanne 58%42% Bayern
Projected score
88–86
Final 95–99
Expected margin
Lyon-Villeurbanneby 2
Total points
~175
Actual 194

Lyon-Villeurbanne’s chance: our ratings say 61%, the bookmakers (9) 56%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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