Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets, NBA
NBASat 7 Nov, 22:00
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Indiana Pacers | 19 | 22 | 37 | 24 | 102 |
| Denver Nuggets | 27 | 37 | 26 | 24 | 114 |
Indiana PacersDenver Nuggets
41/92 (45%)Field goals44/96 (46%)
15/48 (31%)3-pointers10/35 (29%)
5/7 (71%)Free throws16/19 (84%)
45Rebounds51
30Assists29
2Steals4
5Blocks2
10Turnovers5
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam | 31:37 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 10-18 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Larry Nance | 13:15 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Ivica Zubac | 19:00 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Obi Toppin | 22:14 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Nembhard | 31:15 | 9 | 1 | 8 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Jarace Walker | 20:04 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 2-2 |
| Aaron Nesmith | 27:10 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Q. Jackson | 16:40 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| John McConnell Timothy | 09:01 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Slawson | 12:12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jr. Oubre Kelly | 15:36 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| B. Smith | 11:38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jay Huff | 10:18 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic | 36:18 | 19 | 13 | 8 | 7-20 | 1-3 | 4-4 |
| Cameron Johnson | 28:50 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Jamal Murray | 33:56 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 |
| S. Jones | 21:10 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Aaron Gordon | 27:02 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-13 | 0-6 | 2-4 |
| DeMar DeRozan | 21:53 | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Marvin Bagley | 11:42 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| Christian Braun | 28:31 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| T. Brazile | 14:26 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| B. Hopkins | 02:54 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Tyus Jones | 13:18 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Our prediction
This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)We picked Denver Nuggets (68%)Correct
Indiana Pacers 32%68% Denver Nuggets
- Projected score
- 112–117
- Final 102–114
- Expected margin
- by 6
- Total points
- ~229
- Actual 216
Indiana Pacers’s chance: our ratings say 37%, the bookmakers (9) 29%. The figure above weighs the two.
How we predict this
Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.
