Fenerbahce vs Lyon-Villeurbanne, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueTue 17 Nov, 18:00

Ulker Sports and Event Hall

Prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

Fenerbahce are clear favourites: 83% to win

Fenerbahce 83%17% Lyon-Villeurbanne
Projected score
88–77
Expected margin
Fenerbahceby 10
Total points
~165

Fenerbahce’s chance: our ratings say 84%, the bookmakers (6) 83%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

The box score appears here once the game tips off.

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