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Tottenham vs Ipswich - Premier League prediction, preview and lineups

Premier League
Round 11
Tottenham logo
Tottenham11th · 12 ptsLWWWD
Sat 21 Nov15:00
Ipswich logo
Ipswich14th · 11 ptsLDDLW
Our prediction · 2-1Win · Draw · Win
58%22%20%

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

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Team news

Tottenham

Top performers

  • B. DaviesTop scorer2 goals
  • M. KudusMost assists3 assists
  • J. van HeckeBest rating7.45 avg

Unavailable

  • M. MudrykSprained AnkleOut
Ipswich

Top performers

  • Z. FlemmingTop scorer2 goals
  • J. ClarkeMost assists3 assists
  • J. EncisoBest rating6.99 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Premier League table

#TeamPGDPts
10Aston Villa10-313
11Tottenham10-112
12Newcastle10-312
13Hull City10011
14Ipswich10-511
15Fulham10-210

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

DAZN SpainDAZN PortugalNova Sport BulgariaArena Sport 2 CroatiaViaplay Denmark

Team news

Tottenham

Top performers

  • B. DaviesTop scorer2 goals
  • M. KudusMost assists3 assists
  • J. van HeckeBest rating7.45 avg

Unavailable

  • M. MudrykSprained AnkleOut
Ipswich

Top performers

  • Z. FlemmingTop scorer2 goals
  • J. ClarkeMost assists3 assists
  • J. EncisoBest rating6.99 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Premier League table

#TeamPGDPts
10Aston Villa10-313
11Tottenham10-112
12Newcastle10-312
13Hull City10011
14Ipswich10-511
15Fulham10-210

AI prediction

Tottenham are clear favourites.

Our pick: Tottenham 2-1 Ipswich

58%Tottenham win
22%Draw
20%Ipswich win

Most likely scores

  • 2-111%Our pick
  • 1-19%
  • 3-17%
  • 2-07%
  • 2-27%
How we predict this

Expected goals: Tottenham 2.2, Ipswich 1.4 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 49% / 23% / 29% (Tottenham / draw / Ipswich); the odds of 10 bookmakers gave 61% / 22% / 17%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Tottenham's home performance (2 wins, 1 draw in 5 games) versus Ipswich's away defensive frailty (13 goals conceded in 5 games).
2Expected goal difference (2.2 vs. 1.4), reflecting Tottenham's superior attacking and defensive efficiency at home.
3Ipswich's inconsistent away scoring (9 goals in 5 games) versus their high conceded tally, which could lead to a low-scoring upset if Tottenham's defense falters.
4Tottenham's clean sheets at home (4 in 10 games) versus Ipswich's zero away clean sheets, highlighting defensive contrast.
5Bookmakers' odds weighting (75%) may prioritize recent form or external factors not captured in the statistical model, such as injuries or managerial tactics.
The model's preference for Tottenham stems from their stronger home performance compared to Ipswich's weak away record. Tottenham's home stats show 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 5 games, with 7 goals scored and 6 conceded, indicating a balanced but effective home setup. In contrast, Ipswich's away record is dire, with 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses in 5 games, having conceded 13 goals—more than double their home tally. This defensive vulnerability away from home suggests Tottenham's home advantage and attacking efficiency (2.2 expected goals) could dominate. However, Ipswich's ability to score 9 goals in 5 away games (despite conceding 13) hints at potential for a surprise result, though their lack of clean sheets (0) and frequent failure to score (2 instances) limits their threat. The model's lower confidence in a Tottenham win (48% vs. 61% from bookmakers) may reflect statistical anomalies, such as Tottenham's home record being less consistent than their overall form suggests, or Ipswich's away attack being more potent than their conceded goals imply.