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Tottenham vs Crystal Palace - Premier League prediction, preview and lineups

Premier LeaguePremier League
Round 9
Tottenham logoTottenham(Pos. 16)
VS
31 Oct 202617:30
Crystal Palace logoCrystal Palace(Pos. 14)

31 Oct 2026, 17:30

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-1
Confidence
Medium51%
Result probabilities
51%Tottenham
26%Draw
24%Crystal Palace

Expected goals 1.7 – 1.1

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%)
Crystal Palace goals
012345+
Tottenham goals07641
1912621
2910521
35631
4221
5+111

% chance of each score. Blue Tottenham win, grey draw, amber Crystal Palace win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Tottenham’s home performance (5 goals scored, 6 conceded) versus Crystal Palace’s away defensive weakness (9 conceded in 4 games).
2Tottenham’s current form (LLDDLDW) with a recent win, compared to Palace’s inconsistent away record (LLWLDWL).
3Expected goals disparity (1.7 for Tottenham, 1.1 for Palace), reflecting Tottenham’s stronger attack and Palace’s weaker away defense.
4Tottenham’s clean sheets (2) versus Palace’s lack of away clean sheets (1).
5Tottenham’s failure to score at home (4 instances) as a potential risk for upsets.
The statistical model favors Tottenham due to their stronger home performance and higher expected goals. Tottenham’s home record shows they score 5 goals in 4 matches, despite conceding 6, but their clean sheets (2) and ability to limit opponents suggest a more disciplined defense compared to Crystal Palace’s away record, which sees them concede 9 goals in 4 games. Crystal Palace’s away form (LLWLDWL) indicates inconsistency, with only 1 win and 1 draw, while Tottenham’s current form (LLDDLDW) includes a recent win, suggesting they may be finding their rhythm. The model’s expected goals (1.7 for Tottenham, 1.1 for Palace) align with Tottenham’s home attack and Palace’s weak away defense. However, Palace’s ability to score 9 goals in 4 away games could lead to an upset if they exploit Tottenham’s defensive lapses, particularly given Tottenham’s 4 instances of failing to score at home. Additionally, Palace’s recent draw and win might boost their confidence, though their overall record (7 played, 9 scored, 17 conceded) highlights defensive vulnerabilities. The most likely score (2-1) reflects Tottenham’s attacking edge and Palace’s tendency to concede. However, Palace’s away performance could be influenced by their ability to score (3 goals in 4 games) and Tottenham’s defensive reliability (2 clean sheets). If Palace’s attack remains ineffective or Tottenham’s home form falters, a draw or Palace win becomes plausible, though less likely based on the model’s parameters.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →