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Internacional vs Vitoria - Serie A prediction, preview and lineups

Serie A
Round 36
Internacional logo
Internacional16th · 38 ptsWLWLD
Mon 23 Nov22:30
Vitoria logo
Vitoria15th · 38 ptsLLDDL
Our prediction · 1-0Win · Draw · Win
60%25%14%

Mon 23 Nov 2026, 22:30

Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre

Loading analysis...

Team news

Internacional

Top performers

  • A. BernabéiTop scorer8 goals
  • AlerrandroMost assists6 assists
  • Alan PatrickBest rating7.06 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Vitoria

Top performers

  • ErickTop scorer14 goals
  • ErickMost assists6 assists
  • Lucas ArcanjoBest rating7.20 avg

Unavailable

  • CamutangaBroken LegOut
  • DuduBack InjuryOut
  • E. BritezYellow CardsOut
  • EduAchilles Tendon InjuryOut
  • FabianoKnee InjuryOut
  • MatheusinhoInactiveOut
  • Nathan MendesKnee InjuryOut
  • RamonLeg InjuryOut
  • RiccieliCalf InjuryOut

Loading analysis...

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
14Mirassol35-941
15Vitoria34-1638
16Internacional34-438
17Corinthians34-637

Mon 23 Nov 2026, 22:30

Estádio Beira Rio, Porto Alegre

Team news

Internacional

Top performers

  • A. BernabéiTop scorer8 goals
  • AlerrandroMost assists6 assists
  • Alan PatrickBest rating7.06 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Vitoria

Top performers

  • ErickTop scorer14 goals
  • ErickMost assists6 assists
  • Lucas ArcanjoBest rating7.20 avg

Unavailable

  • CamutangaBroken LegOut
  • DuduBack InjuryOut
  • E. BritezYellow CardsOut
  • EduAchilles Tendon InjuryOut
  • FabianoKnee InjuryOut
  • MatheusinhoInactiveOut
  • Nathan MendesKnee InjuryOut
  • RamonLeg InjuryOut
  • RiccieliCalf InjuryOut

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
14Mirassol35-941
15Vitoria34-1638
16Internacional34-438
17Corinthians34-637

AI prediction

Internacional are clear favourites.

Our pick: Internacional 1-0 Vitoria

60%Internacional win
25%Draw
14%Vitoria win

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%Our pick
  • 2-013%
  • 1-112%
  • 0-010%
  • 2-19%
How we predict this

Expected goals: Internacional 1.7, Vitoria 0.7 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Internacional's home attack (22 goals in 17 games) vs Vitoria's away defense (35 goals conceded in 17 games).
2Vitoria's historical inability to score away (12 goals in 17 games) and frequent failures to score (11 instances).
3Internacional's consistency at home (6 wins, 5 draws in 17 games) compared to Vitoria's lack of away wins (0 in 17 games).
4Clean sheet records: Internacional's 8 home clean sheets vs Vitoria's 11 overall (but mostly at home).
5Vitoria's tendency to concede multiple goals away (average 2.06 per game) versus Internacional's more controlled home defense (17 conceded in 17 games).
The model's prediction favors Internacional due to their stronger home performance compared to Vitoria's dire away record. Internacional has scored 22 goals in 17 home games, averaging 1.3 goals per game, while conceding 17. This suggests a balanced attack and defense at home, supported by 8 clean sheets. In contrast, Vitoria has conceded 35 goals in 17 away games, averaging 2.06 goals per game, indicating severe defensive vulnerabilities. Their away record includes 11 losses and only 6 draws, with just 12 goals scored, highlighting an inability to create chances or maintain consistency. The expected goal difference (1.7-0.7) reflects Internacional's home advantage and Vitoria's struggles away from home. A draw is plausible if Vitoria's defense avoids further collapses, but their historical inability to keep clean sheets (only 11 in 34 games overall) makes this unlikely. A Vitoria win would require an improbable defensive display and a rare away goal, given their 12 goals in 17 away games.