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Coventry vs Crystal Palace - Premier League prediction, preview and lineups

Premier League
Round 11
Coventry logo
Coventry17th · 9 ptsLWLLW
Sat 21 Nov15:00
Crystal Palace logo
Crystal Palace20th · 7 ptsLLLLW
Our prediction · 2-1Win · Draw · Win
43%26%31%

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry

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Team news

Coventry

Top performers

  • J. RudoniTop scorer4 goals
  • V. TorpMost assists2 assists
  • V. TorpBest rating7.25 avg

Unavailable

  • H. WrightMuscle BruiseOut
  • J. EcclesSprained AnkleOut
  • L. WoolfendenJumpers KneeOut
Crystal Palace

Top performers

  • J. Strand LarsenTop scorer4 goals
  • D. KamadaMost assists3 assists
  • D. HendersonBest rating6.93 avg

Unavailable

  • C. RiadJumpers KneeOut
  • I. SarrGroin InjuryOut
  • T. TomiyasuCalf InjuryOut

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Premier League table

#TeamPGDPts
16Nottingham Forest10-49
17Coventry10-99
18Manchester United10-58
19Sunderland10-98
20Crystal Palace10-147

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry

DAZN SpainDAZN PortugalNova Sports NewsViaplay DenmarkViaplay Sweden

Team news

Coventry

Top performers

  • J. RudoniTop scorer4 goals
  • V. TorpMost assists2 assists
  • V. TorpBest rating7.25 avg

Unavailable

  • H. WrightMuscle BruiseOut
  • J. EcclesSprained AnkleOut
  • L. WoolfendenJumpers KneeOut
Crystal Palace

Top performers

  • J. Strand LarsenTop scorer4 goals
  • D. KamadaMost assists3 assists
  • D. HendersonBest rating6.93 avg

Unavailable

  • C. RiadJumpers KneeOut
  • I. SarrGroin InjuryOut
  • T. TomiyasuCalf InjuryOut

Premier League table

#TeamPGDPts
16Nottingham Forest10-49
17Coventry10-99
18Manchester United10-58
19Sunderland10-98
20Crystal Palace10-147

AI prediction

Coventry are slight favourites.

Our pick: Coventry 2-1 Crystal Palace

43%Coventry win
26%Draw
31%Crystal Palace win

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-28%
  • 2-18%Our pick
  • 1-07%
  • 2-07%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but a Coventry win (43%) is likelier than a draw (26%), so we pick the likeliest score for a Coventry win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: Coventry 1.6, Crystal Palace 1.3 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 53% / 25% / 22% (Coventry / draw / Crystal Palace); the odds of 10 bookmakers gave 40% / 27% / 34%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Coventry's home scoring efficiency (7 goals in 5 games) versus Crystal Palace's away ineptitude (3 goals in 5 games).
2Both teams' vulnerability to conceding goals (Coventry 9 at home, Palace 11 away) may lead to open play and higher scoring chances.
3The statistical discrepancy between the model's 53% Coventry win chance and the bookmakers' 40% suggests external factors (e.g., injuries, tactical changes) may influence the outcome.
The model's preference for Coventry's win stems from their stronger home performance compared to Crystal Palace's away record. Coventry has scored 7 goals in 5 home games, while Crystal Palace has managed only 3 goals in 5 away matches, highlighting a potential advantage for the home side. However, Coventry's home defense (9 goals conceded) is not significantly better than Crystal Palace's away defense (11 goals conceded), suggesting that both teams may struggle to prevent goals. The expected goals (1.6 for Coventry, 1.3 for Palace) align with this, indicating a slight edge for the home team but not a decisive one. The model's prediction (43% for Coventry) is lower than the statistical model's 53%, likely due to bookmakers' odds factoring in intangibles like recent form or momentum, which may not be fully captured by the season-long averages. A draw (26%) is plausible given both teams' tendency to fail to score (5 instances each), while Crystal Palace's win (31%) could occur if their away defense collapses further or Coventry's home attack falters.