Zalgiris Kaunas vs Panathinaikos, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueThu 19 Nov, 18:00

Zalgirio Arena

Prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

Too close to call, Zalgiris Kaunas by a whisker: 52% to win

Zalgiris Kaunas 52%48% Panathinaikos
Projected score
84–83
Expected margin
Coin flip
Total points
~168

Zalgiris Kaunas’s chance: our ratings say 63%, the bookmakers (4) 47%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

The box score appears here once the game tips off.

Related news