Washington Wizards vs Detroit Pistons, NBA

NBAFri 13 Nov, 00:00

Capital One Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Washington Wizards3229293119140
Detroit Pistons3331302723144
Washington WizardsDetroit Pistons
50/102 (49%)Field goals49/99 (49%)
14/37 (38%)3-pointers13/35 (37%)
26/29 (90%)Free throws33/39 (85%)
50Rebounds47
33Assists28
6Steals10
6Blocks6
18Turnovers12

Washington Wizards

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Trae Young45:05372148-234-817-17
Anthony Davis43:353015413-210-14-4
A. Sarr44:17309212-144-62-4
K. George25:5214155-73-31-2
T. Johnson29:3413425-141-92-2
A. Dybantsa44:125842-101-40-0
Bilal Coulibaly29:244702-50-20-0
W. Riley03:293001-11-10-0
Deandre Ayton08:472401-10-00-0
C. Carrington15:462021-60-30-0

Detroit Pistons

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Cade Cunningham47:595251116-253-517-18
D. Jenkins42:1721606-113-56-6
Ausar Thompson42:541711118-150-11-2
Duncan Robinson40:4713315-143-110-0
Paul Reed37:44131135-90-13-6
Kevin Huerter23:5911103-71-44-5
John Collins25:1410403-82-32-2
J. Green15:195102-41-30-0
R. Holland13:472521-60-20-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Detroit Pistons (78%)Correct

Washington Wizards 22%78% Detroit Pistons
Projected score
106–115
Final 140–144
Expected margin
Detroit Pistonsby 9
Total points
~221
Actual 284

Washington Wizards’s chance: our ratings say 19%, the bookmakers (9) 23%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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