Valencia vs Bayern, EuroLeague
EuroLeagueThu 12 Nov, 19:30
Roig Arena
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia | 29 | 23 | 21 | 29 | 102 |
| Bayern | 19 | 22 | 24 | 22 | 87 |
ValenciaBayern
26/45 (58%)Field goals24/39 (62%)
14/33 (42%)3-pointers8/24 (33%)
16/8 (200%)Free throws20/15 (133%)
28Rebounds35
26Assists20
10Steals2
2Blocks3
6Turnovers18
Valencia
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Shorts | 22:26 | 14 | 1 | 10 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Armoni Brooks | 17:06 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 5-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 |
| Neal Sako | 17:36 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| Josep Puerto | 21:18 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 2-9 | 0-0 |
| Gonzala Corbalan | 20:19 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4-2 |
| Jasiel Rivero | 21:03 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Dylan Osetkowski | 16:47 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 1-0 |
| A. Cardenas | 15:48 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-1 |
| Kameron Taylor | 15:36 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mario Saint-Supery | 18:21 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Mouhamadou Gueye | 07:21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| O. Moore | 06:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Bayern
| Player | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3PT | FT |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Obst | 28:13 | 22 | 1 | 5 | 8-16 | 6-11 | 0-0 |
| Duane Washington | 20:36 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 |
| Oscar Da Silva | 22:33 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-2 |
| Rokas Jokubaitis | 21:53 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 4-4 |
| Austin Wiley | 17:42 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Johannes Thiemann | 23:55 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Vladimir Lucic | 22:55 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| M. Norris | 09:52 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 18:36 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2-1 |
| Justinian Jessup | 09:18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Johannes Voigtmann | 04:27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Our prediction
This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)We picked Valencia (79%)Correct
Valencia 79%21% Bayern
- Projected score
- 95–87
- Final 102–87
- Expected margin
- by 8
- Total points
- ~182
- Actual 189
Valencia’s chance: our ratings say 84%, the bookmakers (9) 76%. The figure above weighs the two.
How we predict this
Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.
