Utah Jazz vs Miami Heat, NBA

NBAWed 11 Nov, 02:00

Delta Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Utah Jazz25291837109
Miami Heat29352823115
Utah JazzMiami Heat
41/84 (49%)Field goals35/89 (39%)
13/33 (39%)3-pointers12/41 (29%)
14/22 (64%)Free throws33/44 (75%)
49Rebounds40
28Assists24
6Steals8
5Blocks4
19Turnovers8

Utah Jazz

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
D. Peterson30:59254410-194-91-2
A. Bailey35:17237210-153-50-0
I. Collier24:1717555-104-43-6
Mohamed Bamba16:477702-30-03-4
K. Filipowski14:437413-50-11-3
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk21:177233-81-50-0
Jaxson Hayes17:076213-50-00-0
Josh Okogie21:176441-80-34-5
Brice Sensabaugh13:565442-51-30-0
T. Bradley14:064501-10-02-2
Josh Green30:152541-50-30-0

Miami Heat

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Giannis Antetokounmpo30:343011412-211-25-9
Davion Mitchell37:4419585-133-76-8
P. Larsson31:0714724-72-34-4
Andrew Wiggins18:3213005-82-41-1
Bam Adebayo37:0611841-80-29-12
Klay Thompson30:0411123-132-103-3
R. Conwell21:045421-71-62-2
Bobby Portis16:365112-71-40-0
Myron Gardner10:054311-20-12-2
Simone Fontecchio07:083001-30-21-3

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Miami Heat (72%)Correct

Utah Jazz 28%72% Miami Heat
Projected score
112–119
Final 109–115
Expected margin
Miami Heatby 7
Total points
~232
Actual 224

Utah Jazz’s chance: our ratings say 43%, the bookmakers (4) 21%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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