Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies, NBA

NBATue 10 Nov, 00:30

Scotiabank Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Toronto Raptors26272821102
Memphis Grizzlies25343029118
Toronto RaptorsMemphis Grizzlies
39/90 (43%)Field goals42/79 (53%)
13/38 (34%)3-pointers16/34 (47%)
11/17 (65%)Free throws18/19 (95%)
34Rebounds44
27Assists27
7Steals7
7Blocks5
14Turnovers18

Toronto Raptors

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
J. Shead35:45202116-174-104-4
R.J. Barrett35:3119327-211-64-9
Jakob Poeltl30:5618829-120-00-0
J. Battle28:4518126-125-111-2
J. Walter34:1512604-132-72-2
Kyle Anderson16:006223-40-00-0
Trayce Jackson-Davis14:204612-30-00-0
A. Graves13:223211-41-20-0
A. Martin21:102331-40-20-0
J. Bradley09:080130-00-00-0
M. Smith00:480000-00-00-0

Memphis Grizzlies

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Ty Jerome31:3627629-195-114-4
C. Boozer33:1222789-160-54-5
Jerami Grant22:1917326-93-32-2
J. Wells25:5914415-84-50-0
Taylor Hendricks15:419304-51-10-0
J. Small23:419253-51-22-2
Z. Edey22:458912-30-04-4
C. Spencer16:347243-51-20-0
C. Coward27:333641-61-40-0
Gregory Jackson17:082100-30-12-2
Kris Murray00:480000-00-00-0
Q. Post01:560100-00-00-0
Olivier-Maxence Prosper00:480000-00-00-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Toronto Raptors (61%)Missed

Toronto Raptors 61%39% Memphis Grizzlies
Projected score
117–114
Final 102–118
Expected margin
Toronto Raptorsby 4
Total points
~232
Actual 220

Toronto Raptors’s chance: our ratings say 67%, the bookmakers (8) 58%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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