Toronto Raptors vs Boston Celtics, NBA

NBAThu 12 Nov, 00:00

Scotiabank Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Toronto Raptors3823191393
Boston Celtics2925212398
Toronto RaptorsBoston Celtics
32/85 (38%)Field goals30/73 (41%)
16/43 (37%)3-pointers14/40 (35%)
13/18 (72%)Free throws24/28 (86%)
42Rebounds45
26Assists22
9Steals7
4Blocks10
14Turnovers18

Toronto Raptors

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
J. Walter35:2017315-115-102-2
A. Graves18:1913505-83-40-0
R.J. Barrett31:2912875-160-22-2
J. Battle24:3912204-72-52-2
A. Martin15:5512104-54-50-0
Immanuel Quickley28:0011443-141-84-4
Jakob Poeltl32:056913-50-00-0
C. Murray-Boyles20:295431-91-52-4
J. Shead22:263361-60-41-2
Kyle Anderson11:192341-40-00-2

Boston Celtics

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Jayson Tatum37:4524786-212-1110-12
Derrick White38:2319177-153-72-2
Payton Pritchard31:1514115-132-72-2
Neemias Queta30:42111332-41-16-8
B. Scheierman28:549733-53-50-0
Sam Hauser24:228902-62-42-2
Jordan Walsh18:226303-40-10-0
Luka Garza10:555101-31-32-2
Mitchell Robinson10:572201-10-00-0
H. Gonzalez08:250100-10-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Boston Celtics (68%)Correct

Toronto Raptors 32%68% Boston Celtics
Projected score
107–112
Final 93–98
Expected margin
Boston Celticsby 6
Total points
~219
Actual 191

Toronto Raptors’s chance: our ratings say 38%, the bookmakers (9) 29%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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