San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors, NBA

NBASat 14 Nov, 02:30

Frost Bank Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
San Antonio Spurs38253426123
Golden State Warriors1419272585
San Antonio SpursGolden State Warriors
46/95 (48%)Field goals31/93 (33%)
14/43 (33%)3-pointers15/41 (37%)
17/23 (74%)Free throws8/11 (73%)
60Rebounds43
34Assists23
7Steals4
7Blocks5
11Turnovers14

San Antonio Spurs

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Stephon CastleS25:07325612-185-83-3
Victor WembanyamaS20:54121265-110-22-3
D. HarperS25:109344-81-30-0
Devin VassellS22:527223-60-31-2
De'Aaron FoxS16:497511-60-35-5
Keldon Johnson24:5618446-112-64-6
Harrison Barnes21:1911114-93-60-0
C. Bryant19:068323-102-60-0
Julian Champagnie22:437833-81-50-0
Luke Kornet16:126722-30-02-2
Jordan McLaughlin13:584622-30-10-0
T. Reed10:542411-20-00-2

Golden State Warriors

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
De'Anthony MeltonS18:218433-112-60-0
Brandin PodziemskiS22:038302-102-52-2
W. RichardS30:197412-41-22-2
Draymond GreenS15:444332-50-20-0
Y. LendeborgS23:403711-130-21-2
L. Cryer23:5720267-176-110-0
Charles Bassey20:1011525-70-01-2
Gui Santos21:107413-81-30-1
G. Ike13:015232-71-30-0
M. Leons13:585101-21-22-2
Georges Niang15:145322-41-20-0
Gary Payton12:322201-30-20-0
Al Horford09:510310-20-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked San Antonio Spurs (76%)Correct

San Antonio Spurs 76%24% Golden State Warriors
Projected score
115–106
Final 123–85
Expected margin
San Antonio Spursby 9
Total points
~221
Actual 208

San Antonio Spurs’s chance: our ratings say 63%, the bookmakers (9) 83%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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