Real Madrid vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueThu 12 Nov, 20:00

Movistar Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Real Madrid38182623105
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet2021182584
Real MadridCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet
16/25 (64%)Field goals16/35 (46%)
17/36 (47%)3-pointers14/28 (50%)
23/22 (105%)Free throws12/10 (120%)
31Rebounds26
21Assists22
8Steals7
2Blocks2
16Turnovers15

Real Madrid

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot18:1322106-73-47-7
Gabriele Procida20:2319406-84-53-3
Nick Smith16:5013344-103-62-2
Andres Feliz22:5811473-41-23-2
Chuma Okeke16:599403-72-61-1
Alberto Abalde16:558213-61-41-1
Sergio Llull16:557132-61-42-2
Olivier Sarr22:297112-31-22-2
Jaime Pradilla20:045841-41-22-2
Edy Tavares16:004302-20-00-0
M. Shulga07:460010-10-00-0
Damian Jones04:280000-10-10-0

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Tyson Carter21:1618037-122-42-2
Jordan Nwora20:2312414-72-22-2
Patrick Baldwin16:0011224-63-40-0
Ognjen Dobric20:339103-73-70-0
Chris Jones17:548433-80-12-2
Dejan Davidovac15:185210-01-14-2
Semi Ojeleye15:395112-41-20-0
David Kramer14:065102-31-20-0
C. J. Koloko14:594221-20-02-2
Chima Moneke18:043531-31-20-0
Nick Weiler-Babb12:402231-40-10-0
Jared Butler13:082231-60-20-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Real Madrid (68%)Correct

Real Madrid 68%32% Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
Projected score
90–85
Final 105–84
Expected margin
Real Madridby 5
Total points
~175
Actual 189

Real Madrid’s chance: our ratings say 68%, the bookmakers (9) 68%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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