Portland Trail Blazers vs Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA

NBAWed 11 Nov, 04:00

Moda Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Portland Trail Blazers26333826123
Oklahoma City Thunder27322123103
Portland Trail BlazersOklahoma City Thunder
11/25 (44%)Field goals20/34 (59%)
18/49 (37%)3-pointers7/19 (37%)
22/24 (92%)Free throws21/27 (78%)
42Rebounds45
26Assists19
4Steals4
4Blocks4
9Turnovers12

Portland Trail Blazers

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Damian Lillard23:3025332-34-105-5
Deni Avdija33:4624682-62-46-8
Sidy Cissoko32:1715335-143-102-2
Toumani Camara30:1212333-92-74-4
Jrue Holiday25:2911120-02-61-1
Scoot Henderson21:308142-82-42-2
C. Youngblood13:468102-42-42-2
D. Clingan25:3271331-21-20-0
Robert Williams14:336402-20-00-0
B. Carlson6:442301-30-10-0
Micah Potter3:230300-10-10-0
Hansen Yang3:230100-00-00-0

Oklahoma City Thunder

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander29:1426836-120-410-11
J. McCain31:2221336-104-75-6
A. Mitchell27:3314335-60-12-2
A. Mara25:07101023-50-00-1
B. Stirtz17:1710111-21-21-1
Isaiah Hartenstein24:257953-50-01-2
Alex Caruso18:375211-31-32-2
N. Clifford18:404410-00-00-0
Kenrich Williams18:403201-21-10-0
B. Barnhizer3:230100-00-00-0
M. Peavy19:470200-10-10-2

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Oklahoma City Thunder (53%)Missed

Portland Trail Blazers 47%53% Oklahoma City Thunder
Projected score
112–113
Final 123–103
Expected margin
Coin flip
Total points
~226
Actual 226

Portland Trail Blazers’s chance: our ratings say 48%, the bookmakers (3) 47%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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