Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets, NBA

NBASun 8 Nov, 02:00

Mortgage Matchup Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Phoenix Suns35122926102
Houston Rockets2324282499
Phoenix SunsHouston Rockets
41/85 (48%)Field goals36/94 (38%)
12/34 (35%)3-pointers10/35 (29%)
8/11 (73%)Free throws17/19 (89%)
44Rebounds46
29Assists16
8Steals7
3Blocks8
16Turnovers14

Phoenix Suns

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Devin Booker39:08242310-242-92-2
Jalen Green33:5516367-140-12-4
Miles Bridges31:26131075-121-52-2
Dillon Brooks37:2111414-103-70-0
Luke Kennard13:3111124-73-60-0
R. Dunn23:218533-52-20-0
K. Maluach18:2181003-40-12-3
Collin Gillespie19:597343-61-30-0
O. Ighodaro22:584632-30-00-0

Houston Rockets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Kevin Durant37:40211035-141-710-11
Amen Thompson39:1317807-150-03-4
Fred VanVleet30:4316346-124-90-0
Jabari Smith Jr.38:5715927-121-40-0
Alperen Sengun31:4215655-161-24-4
R. Sheppard13:086002-82-60-0
Marcus Smart20:225202-71-40-0
Tari Eason22:382721-80-20-0
Oscar Tshiebwe03:192001-10-00-0
Bogdan Bogdanovic02:180100-10-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Houston Rockets (73%)Missed

Phoenix Suns 27%73% Houston Rockets
Projected score
108–115
Final 102–99
Expected margin
Houston Rocketsby 7
Total points
~223
Actual 201

Phoenix Suns’s chance: our ratings say 24%, the bookmakers (9) 29%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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