Phoenix Suns vs Charlotte Hornets, NBA

NBAFri 13 Nov, 02:00

Mortgage Matchup Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Phoenix Suns28271729101
Charlotte Hornets2228262096
Phoenix SunsCharlotte Hornets
0/0 (-)Field goals0/0 (-)
13/43 (30%)3-pointers14/38 (37%)
10/13 (77%)Free throws15/18 (83%)
30Rebounds50
23Assists24
11Steals4
4Blocks4
8Turnovers27

Phoenix Suns

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Devin Booker34:4328170-04-80-0
Dillon Brooks29:4515310-03-60-0
Collin Gillespie26:4213210-03-90-0
Jalen Green20:5312400-01-45-6
Miles Bridges24:3211530-00-45-5
Luke Kennard20:368110-00-50-0
Jordan Goodwin24:086522-62-60-0
K. Maluach16:254210-00-00-0
O. Ighodaro31:222370-00-00-2
R. Dunn10:060400-10-10-0

Charlotte Hornets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Coby White19:5621330-02-73-3
Naz Reid33:3416830-01-43-5
Grayson Allen33:5514460-04-80-0
C. Anderson18:1413020-03-62-2
Grant Williams16:0211210-02-43-3
Royce O'Neale21:447402-52-51-1
Moussa Diabate31:2561220-00-00-0
S. James31:513760-00-21-2
R. Kalkbrenner16:242610-00-02-2
Tidjane Salaun16:072400-00-20-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Phoenix Suns (70%)Correct

Phoenix Suns 70%30% Charlotte Hornets
Projected score
111–104
Final 101–96
Expected margin
Phoenix Sunsby 6
Total points
~215
Actual 197

Phoenix Suns’s chance: our ratings say 72%, the bookmakers (9) 68%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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