Philadelphia 76ers vs Miami Heat, NBA

NBAWed 25 Nov, 22:00

Xfinity Mobile Arena

Prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

Too close to call, Philadelphia 76ers by a whisker: 55% to win

Philadelphia 76ers 55%45% Miami Heat
Projected score
120–118
Expected margin
Coin flip
Total points
~238
How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

The box score appears here once the game tips off.

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