Paris vs Fenerbahce, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueWed 11 Nov, 19:45

Accor Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTT
Paris2327222019111
Fenerbahce1429292017109
ParisFenerbahce
25/43 (58%)Field goals32/46 (70%)
14/37 (38%)3-pointers9/26 (35%)
25/19 (132%)Free throws23/18 (128%)
29Rebounds34
19Assists19
12Steals11
3Blocks6
14Turnovers20

Paris

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Frank Ntilikina23:3422236-114-86-6
TJ Warren25:3819508-133-50-0
Jared Rhoden24:4813214-60-17-5
Sebastian Herrera21:2012361-23-62-1
N. Hifi26:4311344-181-72-2
T. Etienne22:2011024-113-80-0
Allan Dokossi21:0711514-40-04-3
Mouhamed Faye20:1210504-40-04-2
Terry Tarpey18:042111-20-10-0
Leopold Cavaliere06:370110-10-10-0
Jeremy Morgan07:230200-00-00-0
Alize Johnson07:140000-10-00-0

Fenerbahce

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Talen Horton-Tucker33:473210212-141-57-5
Wade Baldwin30:2522145-93-44-3
M. Bingham24:1614615-51-22-1
Shavon Shields27:3411343-83-72-2
Will Clyburn30:5811233-101-54-4
Trent Forrest16:1010224-70-12-2
Shane Larkin18:145422-50-21-1
Braxton Key22:594402-20-01-0
Dwight Powell13:100210-00-00-0
Ignas Sargiunas07:270000-10-00-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Fenerbahce (62%)Missed

Paris 38%62% Fenerbahce
Projected score
85–88
Final 111–109
Expected margin
Fenerbahceby 3
Total points
~173
Actual 220

Paris’s chance: our ratings say 47%, the bookmakers (9) 32%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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