Panathinaikos vs Barcelona, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueFri 13 Nov, 19:15

Telekom Center Athens

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Panathinaikos1716241774
Barcelona1715113376
PanathinaikosBarcelona
13/31 (42%)Field goals14/29 (48%)
11/31 (35%)3-pointers10/30 (33%)
24/15 (160%)Free throws21/18 (117%)
33Rebounds38
17Assists16
4Steals7
5Blocks3
11Turnovers14

Panathinaikos

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Sylvain FranciscoS21:1417311-44-95-3
Juan HernangomezS13:018203-42-30-0
Isaac BongaS20:164512-50-10-0
Konstantinos MitoglouS07:312301-20-00-0
Brancou BadioS09:520020-30-20-0
Kendrick Nunn26:0919637-142-63-3
Nigel Hayes27:549362-61-34-4
Guerschon Yabusele27:186610-21-46-3
Mathias Lessort26:475312-30-04-1
Jerian Grant14:253221-51-20-0
Kostas Sloukas05:331000-00-12-1

Barcelona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Justin RobinsonS25:4124111-35-88-7
T. MartinS28:1113631-42-56-5
Stanley UmudeS25:569514-71-30-0
Joel ParraS17:015422-61-40-0
Josh NeboS26:565622-50-02-1
O. Nkamhoua22:597712-61-22-2
Aleksander Balcerowski13:047402-40-03-3
Dario Brizuela13:254232-60-40-0
Justin Minaya15:162311-30-20-0
Umoja Gibson11:310020-20-20-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Panathinaikos (75%)Missed

Panathinaikos 75%25% Barcelona
Projected score
89–81
Final 74–76
Expected margin
Panathinaikosby 7
Total points
~170
Actual 150

Panathinaikos’s chance: our ratings say 68%, the bookmakers (9) 79%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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