Olympiacos vs Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueFri 6 Nov, 19:15

SUNEL Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Olympiacos1111191657
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet1921111162
OlympiacosCrvena Zvezda Meridianbet
17/35 (49%)Field goals18/33 (55%)
5/36 (14%)3-pointers7/21 (33%)
15/8 (188%)Free throws7/5 (140%)
32Rebounds38
9Assists14
10Steals8
4Blocks1
13Turnovers22

Olympiacos

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Aleksandar Vezenkov33:4727618-113-103-2
Evan Fournier27:0912235-192-120-0
Cory Joseph18:585112-40-01-1
Donta Hall19:414402-20-00-0
Tyson Ward21:303200-20-64-3
Mbaye Ndiaye12:123401-20-25-1
Tyrique Jones08:023111-30-02-1
Nikola Milutinov12:170500-30-00-0
Codi Miller-McIntyre21:020310-30-20-0
Kostas Papanikolaou05:370100-00-00-0
John Konchar19:450320-40-40-0

Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Jordan Nwora25:15181325-92-63-2
Chris Jones21:3510234-52-30-0
Tyson Carter26:107123-40-22-1
C. J. Koloko21:126303-40-00-0
Dejan Davidovac11:345202-31-20-0
Jared Butler13:504121-60-12-2
Nick Weiler-Babb18:253431-31-20-0
Ognjen Dobric08:453111-11-10-0
Chima Moneke19:262711-50-30-0
Ebuka Izundu12:032201-30-00-0
Semi Ojeleye15:452201-20-00-0
Nikola Djurisic06:000000-10-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Olympiacos (69%)Missed

Olympiacos 69%31% Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet
Projected score
86–81
Final 57–62
Expected margin
Olympiacosby 5
Total points
~167
Actual 119

Olympiacos’s chance: our ratings say 73%, the bookmakers (8) 66%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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