Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards, NBA

NBASun 8 Nov, 01:00

Paycom Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Oklahoma City Thunder25323324114
Washington Wizards1917231675
Oklahoma City ThunderWashington Wizards
45/92 (49%)Field goals29/98 (30%)
10/28 (36%)3-pointers7/43 (16%)
14/18 (78%)Free throws10/15 (67%)
55Rebounds47
33Assists20
9Steals6
7Blocks6
13Turnovers12

Oklahoma City Thunder

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander28:45302911-203-55-6
J. McCain23:0919528-102-41-1
A. Mara27:0018838-101-11-2
A. Mitchell21:5112405-140-22-3
B. Stirtz28:4411523-122-83-3
Kenrich Williams22:309423-71-22-3
M. Peavy22:307303-61-30-0
Isaiah Hartenstein18:2121461-50-00-0
B. Barnhizer07:322451-20-00-0
J. Dix20:432111-30-10-0
Dalen Terry05:482201-10-00-0
Alex Caruso13:070330-20-20-0

Washington Wizards

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
A. Dybantsa30:5419637-151-54-6
A. Sarr27:30151417-171-90-0
K. George29:4214765-162-82-2
C. Carrington21:159613-53-30-0
W. Riley20:275212-50-31-2
Trae Young28:174531-60-12-3
T. Johnson28:044032-150-70-0
Deandre Ayton07:192101-20-00-0
Tre Mann17:412021-50-20-0
Anthony Gill09:071100-40-11-2
Bilal Coulibaly19:440500-80-40-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Oklahoma City Thunder (79%)Correct

Oklahoma City Thunder 79%21% Washington Wizards
Projected score
115–105
Final 114–75
Expected margin
Oklahoma City Thunderby 10
Total points
~221
Actual 189

Oklahoma City Thunder’s chance: our ratings say 80%, the bookmakers (7) 79%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.