New Orleans Pelicans vs Denver Nuggets, NBA

NBASun 15 Nov, 00:00

Smoothie King Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
New Orleans Pelicans23283126108
Denver Nuggets29273030116
New Orleans PelicansDenver Nuggets
37/89 (42%)Field goals42/80 (53%)
13/33 (39%)3-pointers4/16 (25%)
21/33 (64%)Free throws28/37 (76%)
38Rebounds47
25Assists29
6Steals9
8Blocks5
11Turnovers14

New Orleans Pelicans

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Zion WilliamsonS30:4624629-162-44-8
Saddiq BeyS40:3316644-152-76-6
J. FearsS32:4413476-151-30-1
Herbert JonesS27:2910213-82-52-3
Y. MissiS22:033811-40-01-4
Jordan Poole23:5514253-71-37-7
J. Pierre23:1813205-112-51-2
D. Queen24:5810544-102-40-2
Karlo Matkovic14:145312-31-20-0

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Nikola JokicS37:08268109-141-17-7
Jamal MurrayS37:5723799-160-35-6
Christian BraunS27:4617716-141-34-5
Cameron JohnsonS30:4612523-111-65-6
Aaron GordonS32:3211514-61-12-5
DeMar DeRozan23:499323-60-03-4
Marvin Bagley13:067703-50-01-2
T. Brazile15:375302-30-11-2
S. Jones11:304212-30-00-0
Tyus Jones09:492031-20-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Denver Nuggets (71%)Correct

New Orleans Pelicans 29%71% Denver Nuggets
Projected score
113–120
Final 108–116
Expected margin
Denver Nuggetsby 7
Total points
~233
Actual 224
How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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