Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics, NBA

NBAMon 9 Nov, 01:00

Fiserv Forum

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Milwaukee Bucks2718292397
Boston Celtics25333326117

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Boston Celtics (85%)Correct

Milwaukee Bucks 15%85% Boston Celtics
Projected score
105–118
Final 97–117
Expected margin
Boston Celticsby 13
Total points
~223
Actual 214

Milwaukee Bucks’s chance: our ratings say 11%, the bookmakers (8) 17%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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