Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers, NBA

NBASat 14 Nov, 01:00

Kaseya Center

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Miami Heat29253841133
Cleveland Cavaliers27303430121
Miami HeatCleveland Cavaliers
46/88 (52%)Field goals42/86 (49%)
12/34 (35%)3-pointers18/47 (38%)
29/37 (78%)Free throws19/25 (76%)
46Rebounds36
37Assists28
1Steals8
2Blocks3
9Turnovers9

Miami Heat

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Giannis AntetokounmpoS31:00379215-201-26-11
Bam AdebayoS38:053714313-192-39-10
Davion MitchellS38:56225177-143-75-6
Tim HardawayS20:094321-60-22-2
Myron GardnerS19:190420-30-30-0
R. Conwell32:4520526-124-94-4
Andrew Wiggins31:338342-51-33-4
Bobby Portis15:035322-61-30-0
Simone Fontecchio07:260020-00-00-0
D. Smith05:440010-30-20-0

Cleveland Cavaliers

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Donovan MitchellS32:5125479-215-122-4
James HardenS34:4920685-132-88-8
J. TysonS29:5216316-114-70-0
Jarrett AllenS31:409813-40-03-4
Peyton WatsonS30:254422-100-50-0
T. Proctor27:2022437-95-73-4
T. Meleek17:5412035-82-50-0
Thomas Bryant16:209113-80-33-5
Mario Hezonja09:214402-20-00-0
Craig Porter09:280220-00-00-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Miami Heat (53%)Correct

Miami Heat 53%47% Cleveland Cavaliers
Projected score
119–118
Final 133–121
Expected margin
Coin flip
Total points
~238
Actual 254

Miami Heat’s chance: our ratings say 49%, the bookmakers (8) 55%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

Related news