Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder, NBA

NBASat 7 Nov, 01:00

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TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Memphis Grizzlies2821272197
Oklahoma City Thunder35362730128
Memphis GrizzliesOklahoma City Thunder
29/88 (33%)Field goals51/92 (55%)
10/45 (22%)3-pointers16/35 (46%)
29/31 (94%)Free throws10/16 (63%)
43Rebounds45
18Assists25
5Steals10
0Blocks6
18Turnovers13

Memphis Grizzlies

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Ty Jerome27:5721257-142-75-5
Z. Edey19:4114613-70-08-8
C. Coward23:2110904-92-50-0
Jerami Grant22:2010024-62-20-0
J. Small21:0710423-91-43-4
C. Boozer31:1581242-140-84-4
J. Wells25:097002-71-42-2
C. Spencer19:097102-51-42-2
Taylor Hendricks03:464201-21-11-2
Karim Lopez03:462000-00-02-2
Kris Murray12:542210-30-32-2
Olivier-Maxence Prosper10:512311-40-20-0
J. Mashack03:460020-10-00-0
Q. Post14:580200-70-50-0

Oklahoma City Thunder

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
A. Mitchell30:28351514-204-73-5
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander29:41283411-223-53-3
J. McCain29:0021509-143-80-0
B. Stirtz24:1512124-52-22-2
A. Mara18:219704-60-01-4
M. Peavy18:047403-81-40-0
Alex Caruso19:585622-31-20-0
J. Dix14:545212-41-20-0
Kenrich Williams19:204631-41-41-2
Isaiah Hartenstein25:422671-40-00-0
B. Barnhizer05:080000-00-00-0
Dalen Terry05:080410-20-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Oklahoma City Thunder (56%)Correct

Memphis Grizzlies 44%56% Oklahoma City Thunder
Projected score
112–113
Final 97–128
Expected margin
Oklahoma City Thunderby 2
Total points
~225
Actual 225

Memphis Grizzlies’s chance: our ratings say 53%, the bookmakers (9) 39%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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