Memphis Grizzlies vs Denver Nuggets, NBA

NBAThu 12 Nov, 01:00

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TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Memphis Grizzlies24283828118
Denver Nuggets35302929123
Memphis GrizzliesDenver Nuggets
41/88 (47%)Field goals49/98 (50%)
17/41 (41%)3-pointers14/38 (37%)
19/21 (90%)Free throws11/16 (69%)
41Rebounds37
27Assists34
2Steals4
4Blocks11
12Turnovers5

Memphis Grizzlies

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
J. Wells30:4322216-135-105-5
Ty Jerome32:2122259-181-53-3
C. Coward26:58151145-121-44-4
C. Spencer20:0115335-73-42-2
Jerami Grant20:1314226-92-30-0
C. Boozer33:08131155-132-71-2
Taylor Hendricks11:007211-11-14-4
J. Small15:043141-51-40-0
Isaiah Stewart18:033121-31-20-0
Z. Edey19:332501-40-00-0
Gregory Jackson12:562101-30-10-1

Denver Nuggets

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Jamal Murray32:07304812-194-72-3
Nikola Jokic36:552711810-161-36-8
Cameron Johnson29:4423439-154-71-1
Christian Braun37:0312545-132-60-0
Aaron Gordon27:049323-111-72-2
DeMar DeRozan20:178144-90-20-2
T. Brazile12:307503-41-20-0
Marvin Bagley12:164212-60-00-0
S. Jones21:343101-31-30-0
Tyus Jones10:300140-20-10-0

Our prediction

This season: 95 of 132 picks right (72%)

We picked Denver Nuggets (56%)Correct

Memphis Grizzlies 44%56% Denver Nuggets
Projected score
114–115
Final 118–123
Expected margin
Denver Nuggetsby 2
Total points
~229
Actual 241

Memphis Grizzlies’s chance: our ratings say 52%, the bookmakers (9) 40%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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