Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Barcelona, EuroLeague

EuroLeagueThu 5 Nov, 18:45

Arena

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4T
Hapoel Tel Aviv2125182690
Barcelona1927272093
Hapoel Tel AvivBarcelona
23/40 (57%)Field goals28/49 (57%)
7/25 (28%)3-pointers8/26 (31%)
26/23 (113%)Free throws18/13 (138%)
28Rebounds38
12Assists17
6Steals5
2Blocks5
11Turnovers13

Hapoel Tel Aviv

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Elijah Bryant27:4925316-101-312-12
Vasilije Micic30:2724378-162-76-6
Daniel Oturu28:3011704-60-06-3
Antonio Blakeney25:307403-101-50-0
Ishmail Wainright16:546302-72-60-0
Zach LeDay23:065522-51-10-0
Amir Coffey20:004102-40-10-0
Tai Odiase07:034002-30-00-0
Eugene German09:332121-30-20-0
Bruno Caboclo04:272000-00-02-2
Jacob Toppin06:410100-10-00-0

Barcelona

PlayerMINPTSREBASTFG3PTFT
Dario Brizuela18:37221110-142-50-0
Justin Robinson21:2320464-63-64-3
Josh Nebo27:52121005-90-03-2
T. Martin25:4211614-80-36-3
Kevin Punter24:089232-121-54-4
Tosan Evbuomwan22:098744-60-10-0
O. Nkamhoua08:215202-40-01-1
Stanley Umude16:143421-31-20-0
Justin Minaya07:303001-11-10-0
Joel Parra18:300000-20-20-0
Agustin Ubal05:190100-10-10-0
Aleksander Balcerowski04:150100-00-00-0

Our prediction

This season: 20 of 34 picks right (59%)

We picked Hapoel Tel Aviv (67%)Missed

Hapoel Tel Aviv 67%33% Barcelona
Projected score
91–86
Final 90–93
Expected margin
Hapoel Tel Avivby 5
Total points
~177
Actual 183

Hapoel Tel Aviv’s chance: our ratings say 68%, the bookmakers (9) 67%. The figure above weighs the two.

How we predict this

Every team gets an attack and a defence rating from its results this season and last, with recent games counting most, plus a home-court edge. Those give the projected score; the expected margin and how much scores usually swing around it give the chance to win. When bookmakers have priced the game we blend in their odds, which also reflect injuries and rest. The prediction is locked at tip-off, and the season record above counts only those locked picks.

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