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Utrecht vs Cambuur - Eredivisie prediction, preview and lineups

Eredivisie
Round 13
Utrecht logo
Utrecht14th · 12 ptsLLDWW
Sat 21 Nov17:45
Cambuur logo
Cambuur10th · 15 ptsLWWDW
Our prediction · 2-1Win · Draw · Win
41%23%37%

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 17:45

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

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Team news

Utrecht

Top performers

  • Artem StepanovTop scorer5 goals
  • O. AgougilMost assists2 assists
  • Y. CathlineBest rating7.25 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Cambuur

Top performers

  • R. El ArguiouiTop scorer6 goals
  • I. HamacheMost assists3 assists
  • N. BinderBest rating7.30 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Eredivisie table

#TeamPGDPts
9Groningen12+115
10Cambuur12-215
11NEC Nijmegen12-114
13PEC Zwolle12-1112
14Utrecht12-1312
15Excelsior12-1311

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 17:45

Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht

Team news

Utrecht

Top performers

  • Artem StepanovTop scorer5 goals
  • O. AgougilMost assists2 assists
  • Y. CathlineBest rating7.25 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Cambuur

Top performers

  • R. El ArguiouiTop scorer6 goals
  • I. HamacheMost assists3 assists
  • N. BinderBest rating7.30 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Eredivisie table

#TeamPGDPts
9Groningen12+115
10Cambuur12-215
11NEC Nijmegen12-114
13PEC Zwolle12-1112
14Utrecht12-1312
15Excelsior12-1311

AI prediction

Too close to call.

Our pick: Utrecht 2-1 Cambuur

41%Utrecht win
23%Draw
37%Cambuur win

Most likely scores

  • 2-19%Our pick
  • 2-28%
  • 1-18%
  • 3-27%
  • 3-15%
How we predict this

Expected goals: Utrecht 2.0, Cambuur 2.2 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 21% / 18% / 61% (Utrecht / draw / Cambuur); the odds of 8 bookmakers gave 47% / 24% / 28%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Utrecht's poor home record (1 win, 3 losses, 18 goals conceded) versus Cambuur's strong away performance (2 wins, 3 clean sheets).
2Expected goals (2.0 for Utrecht, 2.2 for Cambuur) suggest a high-scoring match, but Utrecht's defensive instability may lead to more goals conceded.
3Cambuur's away clean sheets (3) indicate better defensive organization on the road, which could counter Utrecht's attacking threat.
4The discrepancy between the statistics model (favoring Cambuur 61%) and bookmakers' odds (favoring Utrecht 47%) may reflect unaccounted variables like recent injuries or managerial changes.
5Utrecht's failure to score in 1 of 6 home matches could be a critical factor if Cambuur's defense maintains its away form.
Utrecht's home performance this season is a significant concern, with just 1 win in 6 matches and 18 goals conceded at home. This contrasts sharply with Cambuur's away record, which includes 2 wins, 2 draws, and only 1 loss, alongside 3 clean sheets. While Utrecht's expected goals (2.0) are slightly higher than Cambuur's (2.2), the disparity in defensive stability is notable—Utrecht has not kept a single clean sheet at home, whereas Cambuur has managed 3 away. However, the model's prediction favors Utrecht slightly (41% vs 37%) due to the weighting of bookmakers' odds, which may reflect broader market sentiment or factors beyond the raw statistics, such as tactical adjustments or player form not captured in the provided data. The draw (23%) remains a lower probability outcome, likely due to the high-scoring tendencies of both teams, though Utrecht's defensive frailties could increase the likelihood of a draw if Cambuur's attacking efficiency is neutralized.