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Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt Lake - Major League Soccer prediction, preview and lineups

Major League Soccer
Round of 32
Seattle Sounders logo
Seattle Sounders8th · 46 ptsWLLDD
Fri 20 Nov03:00
Real Salt Lake logo
Real Salt Lake9th · 45 ptsWLWWW
Our prediction · 1-0Win · Draw · Win
47%26%27%

Fri 20 Nov 2026, 03:00

Lumen Field

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Team news

Seattle Sounders

Top performers

  • A. RusnákTop scorer8 goals
  • A. RusnákMost assists13 assists
  • C. RoldanBest rating7.31 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Real Salt Lake

Top performers

  • S. SolansTop scorer17 goals
  • M. GuilavoguiMost assists8 assists
  • M. GuilavoguiBest rating7.31 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPGDPts
7Portland Timbers34+146
8Seattle Sounders34-246
9Real Salt Lake34+145
10Minnesota United FC34-244

Fri 20 Nov 2026, 03:00

Lumen Field

Team news

Seattle Sounders

Top performers

  • A. RusnákTop scorer8 goals
  • A. RusnákMost assists13 assists
  • C. RoldanBest rating7.31 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Real Salt Lake

Top performers

  • S. SolansTop scorer17 goals
  • M. GuilavoguiMost assists8 assists
  • M. GuilavoguiBest rating7.31 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPGDPts
7Portland Timbers34+146
8Seattle Sounders34-246
9Real Salt Lake34+145
10Minnesota United FC34-244

AI prediction

Seattle Sounders are favourites.

Our pick: Seattle Sounders 1-0 Real Salt Lake

47%Seattle Sounders win
26%Draw
27%Real Salt Lake win

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%Our pick
  • 2-110%
  • 2-09%
  • 0-08%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but a Seattle Sounders win (47%) is likelier than a draw (26%), so we pick the likeliest score for a Seattle Sounders win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: Seattle Sounders 1.5, Real Salt Lake 1.1 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 44% / 28% / 28% (Seattle Sounders / draw / Real Salt Lake); the odds of 8 bookmakers gave 48% / 25% / 27%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Seattle Sounders’ home advantage, reflected in their 8 wins and 4 clean sheets at home.
2Real Salt Lake’s dire away performance, with 11 losses and 30 goals conceded in 17 away games.
3Seattle’s higher expected goals (1.5) versus RSL’s lower expected goals (1.1), emphasizing the home team’s attacking edge.
4RSL’s frequent failure to score away (6 games), which could limit their chances even if they create opportunities.
5The discrepancy between the model’s prediction and raw statistics, suggesting bookmakers may account for factors like recent form or tactical adjustments not evident in season-long averages.
The model favors Seattle Sounders due to their strong home performance, which contrasts sharply with Real Salt Lake’s struggles on the road. Seattle has a solid home record (8 wins, 4 draws, 5 losses) with 26 goals scored and 23 conceded, indicating a balanced attack and defense. Their 8 clean sheets at home suggest defensive reliability, though their 8 games without a goal highlight occasional attacking inconsistencies. Real Salt Lake, meanwhile, has a dire away record (3 wins, 3 draws, 11 losses) with 20 goals scored and 30 conceded, pointing to significant defensive vulnerabilities. Their 6 games without scoring away further weaken their chances. The expected goals (1.5 for Seattle, 1.1 for RSL) align with these trends, as Seattle’s home form and RSL’s away frailty suggest a slight edge for the hosts. However, the model’s prediction (47% Seattle win) slightly differs from the raw statistics (44% Seattle win), likely because bookmakers’ odds (48% Seattle win) factor in intangibles like recent form or momentum not fully captured by season-long averages. A draw or RSL win remains possible if Seattle’s defense falters or RSL’s attack finds unexpected opportunities despite their poor away record.