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Remo vs Chapecoense-sc - Serie A prediction, preview and lineups

Serie A
Round 35
Remo logo
Remo19th · 29 ptsLWLDD
Wed 18 Nov23:00
Chapecoense-sc logo
Chapecoense-sc20th · 21 ptsLLLWL
Our prediction · 1-0Win · Draw · Win
56%25%20%

Wed 18 Nov 2026, 23:00

Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem

A. Gomes Stefano

Loading analysis...

Team news

Remo

Top performers

  • Jája SilvaTop scorer9 goals
  • Alef MangaMost assists4 assists
  • Marcelo RangelBest rating7.15 avg

Unavailable

  • Gabriel PovedaInjuryOut
  • Joao LucasKnee InjuryOut
  • Matheus FelipeInjuryOut
  • MarlonInjuryDoubtful
Chapecoense-sc

Top performers

  • MarcinhoTop scorer6 goals
  • Giovanni AugustoMost assists7 assists
  • AndersonBest rating7.24 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
18Gremio34-937
19Remo34-2029
20Chapecoense-sc34-3721

Wed 18 Nov 2026, 23:00

Estadio Evandro Almeida, Belem

A. Gomes Stefano

Team news

Remo

Top performers

  • Jája SilvaTop scorer9 goals
  • Alef MangaMost assists4 assists
  • Marcelo RangelBest rating7.15 avg

Unavailable

  • Gabriel PovedaInjuryOut
  • Joao LucasKnee InjuryOut
  • Matheus FelipeInjuryOut
  • MarlonInjuryDoubtful
Chapecoense-sc

Top performers

  • MarcinhoTop scorer6 goals
  • Giovanni AugustoMost assists7 assists
  • AndersonBest rating7.24 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
18Gremio34-937
19Remo34-2029
20Chapecoense-sc34-3721

AI prediction

Remo are clear favourites.

Our pick: Remo 1-0 Chapecoense-sc

56%Remo win
25%Draw
20%Chapecoense-sc win

Most likely scores

  • 1-014%Our pick
  • 1-112%
  • 2-012%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-09%
How we predict this

Expected goals: Remo 1.6, Chapecoense-sc 0.8 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 54% / 27% / 19% (Remo / draw / Chapecoense-sc); the odds of 9 bookmakers gave 56% / 24% / 20%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Home advantage for Remo, with better goal-scoring and defensive consistency at home compared to Chapecoense-sc’s away struggles.
2Chapecoense-sc’s away defensive record (32 conceded in 17 games) versus Remo’s home conceded goals (22 in 17 games).
3Expected goal disparity (1.6 vs 0.8), reflecting Remo’s stronger attacking and Chapecoense-sc’s weak away offense.
4Both teams’ frequent failure to score (11 instances each), which could lead to low-scoring games or draws if neither team capitalizes on chances.
5Remo’s recent form (LDDDLLLWLDDLLWDWLWLWLDDLLLLLDDDLWL) versus Chapecoense-sc’s (WDDLDDLLDLLLLDLLLLLDLDWLWLDLLLWLL), indicating Remo’s recent inconsistency but Chapecoense-sc’s deeper slump.
The model favors Remo due to their home advantage and Chapecoense-sc’s dire away record. Remo has scored 22 goals in 17 home games, averaging 1.3 per match, while conceding 22. This suggests a balanced home performance, though their 4 wins and 6 losses indicate inconsistency. Chapecoense-sc, by contrast, has scored only 11 goals in 17 away games, averaging 0.65, and conceded 32—a stark defensive weakness. Their away record (1 win, 12 losses) and 32 conceded goals highlight vulnerability, aligning with the model’s expectation of 0.8 goals for Chapecoense-sc. The predicted 1-0 score reflects Remo’s home edge and Chapecoense-sc’s struggles to score away. However, Chapecoense-sc’s occasional away draws (4) and Remo’s 7 home draws could lead to a draw if Chapecoense-sc’s defense improves or Remo’s attack falters. The model’s emphasis on bookmakers’ odds (75% weighting) may account for factors like recent form or injuries not captured in the season stats.