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Parma vs AS Roma - Serie A prediction, preview and lineups

Serie A
Round 12
Parma logo
Parma16th · 8 ptsLWDLL
Sat 21 Nov17:00
AS Roma logo
AS Roma3rd · 27 ptsWWWDW
Our prediction · 0-2Win · Draw · Win
12%19%69%

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 17:00

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

DAZN GermanyDAZN ItaliaDAZN SpainDAZN SwitzerlandDAZN Austria

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Team news

Parma

Top performers

  • S. LontaniTop scorer5 goals
  • G. FabbianMost assists2 assists
  • G. DaffaraBest rating7.61 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

AS Roma

Top performers

  • D. MalenTop scorer12 goals
  • M. SouléMost assists5 assists
  • P. DybalaBest rating7.61 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
2Inter11+1528
3AS Roma11+2127
4AC Milan11+1024
15Fiorentina11-89
16Parma11-88
17Sassuolo11-138

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 17:00

Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma

DAZN GermanyDAZN ItaliaDAZN SpainDAZN SwitzerlandDAZN Austria

Team news

Parma

Top performers

  • S. LontaniTop scorer5 goals
  • G. FabbianMost assists2 assists
  • G. DaffaraBest rating7.61 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

AS Roma

Top performers

  • D. MalenTop scorer12 goals
  • M. SouléMost assists5 assists
  • P. DybalaBest rating7.61 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
2Inter11+1528
3AS Roma11+2127
4AC Milan11+1024
15Fiorentina11-89
16Parma11-88
17Sassuolo11-138

AI prediction

AS Roma are clear favourites.

Our pick: Parma 0-2 AS Roma

12%Parma win
19%Draw
69%AS Roma win

Most likely scores

  • 0-213%Our pick
  • 0-111%
  • 1-210%
  • 1-19%
  • 0-39%
How we predict this

Expected goals: Parma 0.8, AS Roma 2.1 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 13% / 21% / 66% (Parma / draw / AS Roma); the odds of 9 bookmakers gave 11% / 19% / 70%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1AS Roma’s away performance (14 goals scored, 5 conceded in 5 games) versus Parma’s home struggles (4 goals scored, 8 conceded in 6 games).
2Parma’s failure to score in 5 of their 6 home matches, which could limit their chances of securing a result.
3AS Roma’s clean sheet record away (6 in 5 games) compared to Parma’s home clean sheets (2 in 6 games), indicating Roma’s defensive reliability in this fixture.
4Roma’s overall goal-scoring dominance (31 goals in 11 games) versus Parma’s modest total (9 goals in 11 games).
5The disparity in current form (Roma’s WWWWDDWDWWW vs Parma’s LLDLWLLLDWL), highlighting Roma’s consistency and Parma’s inconsistency.
The model heavily favors AS Roma due to their dominant away form, which contrasts sharply with Parma’s weak home performance. Roma’s away record (5 games, 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses, 14 goals scored, 5 conceded) demonstrates consistency in scoring and defense, while Parma’s home record (6 games, 1 win, 2 draws, 3 losses, 4 goals scored, 8 conceded) highlights a lack of offensive threat and defensive vulnerabilities. Roma’s ability to maintain clean sheets away (6 in 5 games) further underscores their reliability, whereas Parma’s home games have seen them fail to score in 5 of 6 matches, a critical weakness. The expected goals (0.8 for Parma, 2.1 for Roma) align with these trends, reflecting Roma’s attacking efficiency and Parma’s struggles both offensively and defensively. The model’s prediction (69% Roma win) is reinforced by Roma’s superior away statistics, though the odds (70% Roma win) suggest even stronger confidence in their dominance. Discrepancies may arise if Parma’s home defense improves or Roma’s away form falters, but the data strongly supports Roma’s advantage.