NextMatch.net

Smart Live Scores • Standings • AI Predictions

All⚽Football🏀Basketball
My teamsLeaguesNews sourcesAI prediction record
Theme

New England Revolution vs Philadelphia Union - Major League Soccer prediction, preview and lineups

Major League Soccer
Round of 16
New England Revolution logo
New England Revolution3rd · 58 ptsLLWWW
Sat 21 Nov19:00
Philadelphia Union logo
Philadelphia Union6th · 50 ptsWLDLD
Our prediction · 1-2Win · Draw · Win
34%26%40%

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 19:00

Gillette Stadium

Loading analysis...

Team news

New England Revolution

Top performers

  • Carles GilTop scorer13 goals
  • L. LangoniMost assists7 assists
  • Carles GilBest rating7.55 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Philadelphia Union

Top performers

  • M. IloskiTop scorer20 goals
  • Cavan SullivanMost assists11 assists
  • Cavan SullivanBest rating7.15 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPGDPts
2Inter Miami34+2160
3New England Revolution34+858
4Chicago Fire34+1055
5Charlotte34+1554
6Philadelphia Union34+1450
7Columbus Crew34+747

Sat 21 Nov 2026, 19:00

Gillette Stadium

Team news

New England Revolution

Top performers

  • Carles GilTop scorer13 goals
  • L. LangoniMost assists7 assists
  • Carles GilBest rating7.55 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Philadelphia Union

Top performers

  • M. IloskiTop scorer20 goals
  • Cavan SullivanMost assists11 assists
  • Cavan SullivanBest rating7.15 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPGDPts
2Inter Miami34+2160
3New England Revolution34+858
4Chicago Fire34+1055
5Charlotte34+1554
6Philadelphia Union34+1450
7Columbus Crew34+747

AI prediction

Philadelphia Union are slight favourites.

Our pick: New England Revolution 1-2 Philadelphia Union

34%New England Revolution win
26%Draw
40%Philadelphia Union win

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 1-29%Our pick
  • 2-27%
  • 2-17%
  • 0-16%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but a Philadelphia Union win (40%) is likelier than a draw (26%), so we pick the likeliest score for a Philadelphia Union win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: New England Revolution 1.7, Philadelphia Union 1.7 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our stats model alone gave 45% / 24% / 31% (New England Revolution / draw / Philadelphia Union); the odds of 7 bookmakers gave 31% / 26% / 43%. We combine the two, with the bookmakers counting for about 75%: odds also reflect injuries and team news.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1New England's home performance (11 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses) with strong scoring (31 goals) and solid defense (20 conceded) provides a foundation for confidence.
2Philadelphia's away record (6 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses) highlights their attacking capability (34 goals) but exposes defensive frailties (33 conceded).
3Current form: New England's inconsistent run (LLWLWWWWDWWLWLDWDLLWDWLWWWLLWWWWLL) versus Philadelphia's late-season resurgence (LLLLLLWDDLDLLDLWWWWDDWWWWWWWWDLDLW).
4Expected goals (1.7 each) suggest a high-scoring match, but Philadelphia's higher away scoring rate may tilt the balance.
5Bookmakers' odds (43% for Philadelphia) influence the model more heavily than season statistics, which slightly favor New England (45% win chance).
The model's prediction of a 40% chance for Philadelphia Union to win reflects a balance between their overall strength and New England Revolution's home advantage. While New England has a strong home record (11 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses) with 31 goals scored and only 20 conceded, Philadelphia's away performance (6 wins, 3 draws, 8 losses) shows a more aggressive attacking approach, scoring 34 goals in 17 matches. However, their away defense is weaker (33 conceded), which may increase their vulnerability at New England's home ground. The model's weighting toward bookmakers' odds (43% for Philadelphia) suggests that external factors, such as market sentiment or team dynamics not fully captured by season statistics, may favor Philadelphia. New England's current form (LLWLWWWWDWWLWLDWDLLWDWLWWWLLWWWWLL) indicates inconsistency, while Philadelphia's form (LLLLLLWDDLDLLDLWWWWDDWWWWWWWWDLDLW) shows late-season resilience, which could influence outcomes. A draw (26%) is plausible due to both teams' ability to score (1.7 expected goals each), but the most likely score (1-2) leans toward Philadelphia's attacking edge despite their defensive weaknesses.