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Lommel United vs Standard Liege - Jupiler Pro League prediction, preview and lineups

Jupiler Pro League
Round 12
Lommel United logo
Lommel United6th · 16 ptsDWDWD
Sun 22 Nov18:15
Standard Liege logo
Standard Liege8th · 15 ptsWDLLL
Our prediction · 1-0Win · Draw · Win
54%26%20%

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 18:15

Soevereinstadion, Lommel

Loading analysis...

Team news

Lommel United

Top performers

  • Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduTop scorer5 goals
  • J. TalvitieMost assists3 assists
  • J. van DuivenBest rating7.34 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Standard Liege

Top performers

  • D. Eckert AyensaTop scorer7 goals
  • A. AbidMost assists4 assists
  • A. AbidBest rating7.73 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPGDPts
5Anderlecht11+220
6Lommel United11+216
7Genk11+315
8Standard Liege11+215
9KVC Westerlo11-414

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 18:15

Soevereinstadion, Lommel

Team news

Lommel United

Top performers

  • Don-Angelo Christoffel Annum-Assamoah KonaduTop scorer5 goals
  • J. TalvitieMost assists3 assists
  • J. van DuivenBest rating7.34 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Standard Liege

Top performers

  • D. Eckert AyensaTop scorer7 goals
  • A. AbidMost assists4 assists
  • A. AbidBest rating7.73 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Jupiler Pro League table

#TeamPGDPts
5Anderlecht11+220
6Lommel United11+216
7Genk11+315
8Standard Liege11+215
9KVC Westerlo11-414

AI prediction

Lommel United are favourites.

Our pick: Lommel United 1-0 Standard Liege

54%Lommel United win
26%Draw
20%Standard Liege win

Most likely scores

  • 1-112%
  • 1-011%Our pick
  • 2-010%
  • 2-110%
  • 0-08%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but a Lommel United win (54%) is likelier than a draw (26%), so we pick the likeliest score for a Lommel United win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: Lommel United 1.7, Standard Liege 1.0 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Lommel United's home defensive record (4 clean sheets, 2 conceded in 5 games) provides a significant advantage.
2Standard Liege's away defense (12 goals conceded in 5 games) is a major vulnerability.
3Lommel's current form (ending with a win and draw) suggests momentum, while Standard's recent results (3 away losses) indicate instability.
4Expected goal statistics (1.7 vs. 1.0) reflect Lommel's attacking efficiency and Standard's defensive frailty.
5Standard's ability to score away (9 goals in 5 games) could challenge Lommel, but their conceded goals suggest a higher risk of conceding.
The model's preference for a Lommel United win stems from their strong home performance, particularly their defensive record. At home, Lommel has conceded only 2 goals in 5 games, with 4 clean sheets, indicating a resilient backline. Their overall scoring (15 goals in 11 games) also suggests an attacking threat, even if their home record includes only 2 wins. Standard Liege's away form is concerning, with 12 goals conceded in 5 games, a stark contrast to Lommel's home solidity. While Standard has a higher overall goal tally (18 scored), their away defense is leaky, and their current form (DDWWWLLLLDW) shows inconsistency, with more losses than wins in their last 5 games. The expected goals (1.7 for Lommel, 1.0 for Standard) align with these trends, favoring a low-scoring Lommel win. A draw or Standard win would require Lommel to underperform defensively or Standard to exploit their away attacking potential, which has historically been unreliable.