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Kasımpaşa vs Alanyaspor - Süper Lig prediction, preview and lineups

Süper Lig
Round 12
Kasımpaşa logo
Kasımpaşa5th · 20 ptsWDWWL
Sun 22 Nov13:00
Alanyaspor logo
Alanyaspor13th · 12 ptsLLLLD
Our prediction · 2-0Win · Draw · Win
59%23%18%

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 13:00

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Team news

Kasımpaşa

Top performers

  • A. BenedyczakTop scorer7 goals
  • H. HajradinovićMost assists2 assists
  • H. HajradinovićBest rating7.14 avg

Unavailable

  • G. FrimpongInjuryOut
  • K. CorekciAchilles Tendon InjuryOut
  • A. KarapoInjuryDoubtful
  • F. DiabateInactiveDoubtful
  • K. MouangaInactiveDoubtful
  • M. OuanesMuscle InjuryDoubtful
Alanyaspor

Top performers

  • A. UsluoğluTop scorer2 goals
  • F. HadërgjonajMost assists2 assists
  • Paulo VictorBest rating7.29 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Süper Lig table

#TeamPGDPts
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 13:00

Team news

Kasımpaşa

Top performers

  • A. BenedyczakTop scorer7 goals
  • H. HajradinovićMost assists2 assists
  • H. HajradinovićBest rating7.14 avg

Unavailable

  • G. FrimpongInjuryOut
  • K. CorekciAchilles Tendon InjuryOut
  • A. KarapoInjuryDoubtful
  • F. DiabateInactiveDoubtful
  • K. MouangaInactiveDoubtful
  • M. OuanesMuscle InjuryDoubtful
Alanyaspor

Top performers

  • A. UsluoğluTop scorer2 goals
  • F. HadërgjonajMost assists2 assists
  • Paulo VictorBest rating7.29 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Süper Lig table

#TeamPGDPts
4Beşiktaş11+1122
5Kasımpaşa11+620
6Fenerbahçe11+1919
12Erzurumspor FK11-714
13Alanyaspor11-912
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.11-911

AI prediction

Kasımpaşa are clear favourites.

Our pick: Kasımpaşa 2-0 Alanyaspor

59%Kasımpaşa win
23%Draw
18%Alanyaspor win

Most likely scores

  • 1-111%
  • 2-010%Our pick
  • 2-110%
  • 1-010%
  • 3-07%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but a Kasımpaşa win (59%) is likelier than a draw (23%), so we pick the likeliest score for a Kasımpaşa win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: Kasımpaşa 1.9, Alanyaspor 1.0 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Kasımpaşa’s home defensive consistency (4 clean sheets in 5 games) and scoring efficiency (9 goals in 5 matches).
2Alanyaspor’s weak away defense (12 goals conceded in 6 games) and low away scoring (5 goals in 6 matches).
3The contrast in overall form, with Kasımpaşa’s recent wins and draws versus Alanyaspor’s frequent losses and failed scoring attempts.
4Expected goals differential (2.0 for Kasımpaşa vs. 1.0 for Alanyaspor), reflecting the model’s assessment of both teams’ attack and defense at this venue.
5Alanyaspor’s tendency to fail to score (4 instances) compared to Kasımpaşa’s only one such occurrence at home.
The model favors Kasımpaşa due to their strong home performance, particularly their 4 clean sheets in 5 home games and a defensive record of 6 conceded goals. Their home attack has been consistent, scoring 9 goals in those matches, which aligns with the expected goals of 2.0. Alanyaspor’s away record is concerning, with 12 goals conceded in 6 away games and only 5 scored, reflecting a weak attacking and defensive setup on the road. This imbalance explains the 59% probability for Kasımpaşa’s win and the 17% for Alanyaspor. A draw is plausible if Kasımpaşa’s defense falters or Alanyaspor’s attack manages to break through, though the latter’s poor away record makes this less likely. The most probable score of 2-0 hinges on Kasımpaşa’s ability to capitalize on their home advantage and Alanyaspor’s struggles to score away.