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Chicago Fire vs Charlotte - Major League Soccer prediction, preview and lineups

Major League Soccer
Round of 16
Chicago Fire logo
Chicago Fire4th · 55 ptsLWDWL
Sun 22 Nov23:30
Charlotte logo
Charlotte5th · 54 ptsDWWLD
Our prediction · 2-1Win · Draw · Win
47%23%30%

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 23:30

Soldier Field

Loading analysis...

Team news

Chicago Fire

Top performers

  • M. Haile-SelassieTop scorer13 goals
  • P. ZinckernagelMost assists9 assists
  • P. ZinckernagelBest rating7.15 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Charlotte

Top performers

  • I. Toklomati GiornoTop scorer15 goals
  • Pep BielMost assists9 assists
  • A. WestwoodBest rating7.40 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPGDPts
3New England Revolution34+858
4Chicago Fire34+1055
5Charlotte34+1554
6Philadelphia Union34+1450

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 23:30

Soldier Field

Team news

Chicago Fire

Top performers

  • M. Haile-SelassieTop scorer13 goals
  • P. ZinckernagelMost assists9 assists
  • P. ZinckernagelBest rating7.15 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Charlotte

Top performers

  • I. Toklomati GiornoTop scorer15 goals
  • Pep BielMost assists9 assists
  • A. WestwoodBest rating7.40 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Major League Soccer table

#TeamPGDPts
3New England Revolution34+858
4Chicago Fire34+1055
5Charlotte34+1554
6Philadelphia Union34+1450

AI prediction

Chicago Fire are favourites.

Our pick: Chicago Fire 2-1 Charlotte

47%Chicago Fire win
23%Draw
30%Charlotte win

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 2-19%Our pick
  • 1-27%
  • 2-27%
  • 3-16%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but a Chicago Fire win (47%) is likelier than a draw (23%), so we pick the likeliest score for a Chicago Fire win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: Chicago Fire 2.0, Charlotte 1.6 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Chicago Fire’s home attacking efficiency (33 goals in 17 games) versus Charlotte’s away defensive weakness (35 conceded in 17 games).
2Charlotte’s away record of 5 wins and 5 draws, indicating potential for upsets despite their overall inferiority.
3Chicago Fire’s clean sheet record at home (7) compared to Charlotte’s away clean sheets (7 but with higher goals conceded).
4Charlotte’s ability to score away (29 goals in 17 games) versus Chicago’s defensive record at home (25 conceded).
5The impact of current form, with Chicago’s recent wins and draws suggesting consistency, while Charlotte’s form includes more losses but also draws.
The model favors Chicago Fire due to their strong home performance, particularly their ability to score (33 goals in 17 home games) and their relatively solid defense (25 conceded). Charlotte’s away record is weaker, with 35 goals conceded in 17 games, suggesting vulnerabilities that Chicago’s attack may exploit. The expected goals (2.0 for Chicago, 1.6 for Charlotte) align with these trends, as Chicago’s home attack outperforms Charlotte’s away defense. The most likely score (2-1) reflects Chicago’s higher scoring efficiency at home and Charlotte’s tendency to concede more away. However, Charlotte’s away record includes 5 draws, and their attack (29 goals in 17 away games) could challenge Chicago’s defense, though their higher concession rate increases the likelihood of Chicago scoring. A draw remains possible if Charlotte’s defense limits Chicago’s scoring or if Charlotte’s attack capitalizes on defensive lapses. Charlotte’s win probability (30%) hinges on their ability to overcome their away defensive struggles and score against a strong home side.