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Atalanta vs Inter - Serie A prediction, preview and lineups

Serie A
Round 12
Atalanta logo
Atalanta12th · 14 ptsWLDDL
Sun 22 Nov19:45
Inter logo
Inter2nd · 28 ptsWLWWW
Our prediction · 1-2Win · Draw · Win
30%24%46%

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 19:45

New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Loading analysis...

Team news

Atalanta

Top performers

  • N. KrstovićTop scorer8 goals
  • C. De KetelaereMost assists4 assists
  • N. KrstovićBest rating7.16 avg

Unavailable

  • I. HienMuscle BruiseOut
Inter

Top performers

  • Lautaro MartínezTop scorer6 goals
  • A. DioufMost assists4 assists
  • Lautaro MartínezBest rating7.41 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Loading analysis...

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
1Lazio11+1629
2Inter11+1528
3AS Roma11+2127
11Torino11-214
12Atalanta11-314
13Genoa11-513

Sun 22 Nov 2026, 19:45

New Balance Arena, Bergamo

Team news

Atalanta

Top performers

  • N. KrstovićTop scorer8 goals
  • C. De KetelaereMost assists4 assists
  • N. KrstovićBest rating7.16 avg

Unavailable

  • I. HienMuscle BruiseOut
Inter

Top performers

  • Lautaro MartínezTop scorer6 goals
  • A. DioufMost assists4 assists
  • Lautaro MartínezBest rating7.41 avg

Unavailable

No reported injuries or suspensions.

Serie A table

#TeamPGDPts
1Lazio11+1629
2Inter11+1528
3AS Roma11+2127
11Torino11-214
12Atalanta11-314
13Genoa11-513

AI prediction

Inter are favourites.

Our pick: Atalanta 1-2 Inter

30%Atalanta win
24%Draw
46%Inter win

Most likely scores

  • 1-110%
  • 1-29%Our pick
  • 2-17%
  • 2-27%
  • 0-26%

1-1 is the single likeliest score, but an Inter win (46%) is likelier than a draw (24%), so we pick the likeliest score for an Inter win.

How we predict this

Expected goals: Atalanta 1.5, Inter 1.9 - the average number of goals each side should score, from this season's results at home and away.

Our pick is the likeliest score within the likeliest result, so it never contradicts the chances above.

How accurate are our predictions? See the record →

AI match preview

Key Factors
1Inter's strong away form and defensive consistency (4 clean sheets in 5 away games).
2Atalanta's home attacking efficiency (11 goals in 6 home games) versus their defensive vulnerabilities (11 conceded in 6 home games).
3Inter's overall superiority in scoring (28 goals in 11 games) compared to Atalanta's (17 goals in 11 games).
4Atalanta's inconsistent current form (WWLLLWLDDLW) versus Inter's more stable recent run (WWWWDWWWWLW).
5Expected goal differential (Inter's 1.9 vs Atalanta's 1.5), reflecting Inter's higher attacking and defensive efficiency.
The model's prediction favors Inter due to their superior away performance and defensive consistency. Inter has a strong away record in Serie A, with 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in their last 5 away games, scoring 9 goals while conceding only 6. This contrasts with Atalanta's home record, which shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in 6 games, with 11 goals scored but also 11 conceded. Inter's ability to maintain clean sheets (4 in away games) compared to Atalanta's 2 at home highlights their defensive reliability. Additionally, Inter's overall scoring (28 goals in 11 games) outpaces Atalanta's (17 goals in 11 games), suggesting a higher likelihood of Inter creating and converting chances. However, Atalanta's home attacking output (11 goals in 6 games) could pose a threat if Inter's defense falters. The model's expected goals (1.5 for Atalanta, 1.9 for Inter) align with these trends, pointing toward a narrow Inter victory. A draw or Atalanta win would require Inter to struggle defensively or Atalanta to capitalize on their home advantage more effectively.