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SK Beveren vs Union St. Gilloise - Jupiler Pro League prediction, preview and lineups

Jupiler Pro LeagueJupiler Pro League
Round 10
SK Beveren logoSK Beveren(Pos. 11)
VS
31 Oct 202619:45
Union St. Gilloise logoUnion St. Gilloise(Pos. 4)

31 Oct 2026, 19:45

Freethiel Stadion, Beveren

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-2
Confidence
Low49%
Result probabilities
26%SK Beveren
25%Draw
49%Union St. Gilloise

Expected goals 1.2 – 1.8

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-1 (8%)
Union St. Gilloise goals
012345+
SK Beveren goals0688521
151210631
2476421
323211
411
5+

% chance of each score. Blue SK Beveren win, grey draw, amber Union St. Gilloise win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Union St. Gilloise’s near-perfect away record (4 wins, 0 losses) and high scoring rate (13 goals in 4 matches) indicate strong adaptability to hostile environments.
2SK Beveren’s home defense (3 goals conceded in 4 matches) is less consistent than Union’s away defense (3 goals conceded in 4 matches), increasing the risk of conceding.
3SK Beveren’s current form (LWLLWWLL) and 3 matches without scoring highlight their offensive instability, while Union’s form (WDWWWWWD) shows greater consistency.
4Expected goals (1.2 for Beveren vs. 1.8 for Union) reflect the disparity in attacking quality, with Union’s model-adjusted attack outperforming Beveren’s.
5Union’s clean sheet record away (5) versus Beveren’s home clean sheets (3) suggests Union’s defense is more reliable in this context.
The statistical model favors Union St. Gilloise due to their dominant away record, which includes 4 wins from 4 matches without a loss, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 3. This contrasts sharply with SK Beveren’s inconsistent home form, where they have 3 wins, 1 loss, and 3 clean sheets but also 3 matches without scoring. Union’s attacking efficiency away from home (13 goals in 4 matches) and defensive solidity (5 clean sheets) suggest they are well-prepared for this fixture. SK Beveren’s expected goals (1.2) are lower than Union’s (1.8), reflecting their weaker attack and less reliable defense at home, where they have conceded 3 goals in 4 matches. The most likely score (1-2) aligns with Union’s ability to score consistently and Beveren’s struggles to maintain offensive output. However, Beveren could capitalize on Union’s occasional defensive lapses or benefit from a strong home crowd if they manage to break their recent scoring drought.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →