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PEC Zwolle vs ADO Den Haag - Eredivisie prediction, preview and lineups

EredivisieEredivisie
Round 11
PEC Zwolle logoPEC Zwolle(Pos. 15)
VS
1 Nov 202611:15
ADO Den Haag logoADO Den Haag(Pos. 17)

1 Nov 2026, 11:15

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-2
Confidence
Low43%
Result probabilities
33%PEC Zwolle
25%Draw
43%ADO Den Haag

Expected goals 1.5 – 1.8

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%)
ADO Den Haag goals
012345+
PEC Zwolle goals0566321
15119521
2487421
324321
41111
5+11

% chance of each score. Blue PEC Zwolle win, grey draw, amber ADO Den Haag win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1PEC Zwolle's home defense (14 goals conceded in 5 games) is significantly weaker than ADO Den Haag's away attack (5 goals scored in 5 games).
2ADO Den Haag's lack of clean sheets in away games (0) contrasts with PEC's 1 clean sheet at home, indicating ADO's defensive instability.
3PEC's failure to score in 4 of their 5 home games may limit their ability to compete, even if they manage to score.
4ADO's recent form (LLLDLLDDW) suggests inconsistency, but their ability to draw away games could lead to a draw if PEC's defense fails to collapse.
5The model's expected goals (1.5-1.8) reflect ADO's projected offensive edge, but PEC's home attack (5 goals in 5 games) could provide a counterbalance.
The model's prediction of ADO Den Haag having a 43% chance to win reflects their stronger away attack compared to PEC Zwolle's porous home defense. ADO has scored 5 goals in 5 away games this season, averaging 1 per game, while PEC has conceded 14 goals in 5 home matches, averaging 2.8 per game. This stark contrast in defensive and attacking efficiency at home and away suggests ADO is more likely to exploit PEC's weaknesses. PEC's home record (1 win, 4 losses) and failure to score in 4 of their 5 home games further highlight their inconsistency, making them vulnerable to teams like ADO, who have shown better away performance despite their own defensive frailties. The expected goal differential (1.5-1.8) aligns with these trends, as ADO's away attack is projected to outperform PEC's home defense. However, PEC's occasional home wins and ADO's tendency to draw away games (2 draws in 5 away matches) could lead to a draw or PEC securing an upset if ADO's defense fails to contain PEC's limited home attack.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →