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Nice vs Rennes - Ligue 1 prediction, preview and lineups

Ligue 1Ligue 1
Round 9
Nice logoNice(Pos. 13)
VS
31 Oct 202616:15
Rennes logoRennes(Pos. 6)

31 Oct 2026, 16:15

Allianz Riviera, Nice

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-1
Confidence
Medium55%
Result probabilities
55%Nice
24%Draw
22%Rennes

Expected goals 2.0 – 1.2

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%)
Rennes goals
012345+
Nice goals05431
1811621
2810621
36641
43321
5+221

% chance of each score. Blue Nice win, grey draw, amber Rennes win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Nice's home form (2 wins, 2 draws in four games) and defensive stability (3 goals conceded at home).
2Rennes' away defensive weaknesses (9 goals conceded in three matches) and inconsistent away record (1 win, 2 losses).
3Expected goal differential (Nice 2.0 vs Rennes 1.2), reflecting Nice's stronger attack and Rennes' weaker defense in this venue.
4Rennes' overall scoring ability (15 goals in seven games) versus their away defensive frailty.
5Clean sheet statistics (Nice 1, Rennes 1) but with Rennes conceding significantly more away (9) compared to Nice's home record.
The model's preference for a Nice win stems from their strong home performance and Rennes' struggles away from home. Nice has maintained an unbeaten record at home this season, securing two wins and two draws in four games, while conceding only three goals. Their attacking efficiency at home (5 goals in four matches) contrasts with Rennes' poor away defensive record (9 goals conceded in three games). The expected goals (2.0 for Nice, 1.2 for Rennes) align with these trends, reflecting Nice's ability to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities in their own stadium. Rennes' current form (DWWWLWL) includes a mix of wins and losses, but their away record suggests inconsistency, particularly in defense. However, Rennes' higher overall scoring (15 goals in seven games) could challenge Nice if they manage to break down their home defense, though their away conceded goals (9) indicate vulnerabilities. A draw is plausible if Nice's attack falters or Rennes' defense improves, but the model's emphasis on Nice's home dominance and Rennes' away frailties makes a Nice win the most statistically probable outcome.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →