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Levante vs Atletico Madrid - La Liga prediction, preview and lineups

La LigaLa Liga
Round 11
Levante logoLevante(Pos. 11)
VS
31 Oct 202613:00
Atletico Madrid logoAtletico Madrid(Pos. 2)

31 Oct 2026, 13:00

Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-2
Confidence
Low47%
Result probabilities
33%Levante
21%Draw
47%Atletico Madrid

Expected goals 1.9 – 2.3

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 1-1 (7%)
Atletico Madrid goals
012345+
Levante goals0234321
1278632
2367532
3245321
4122211
5+1111

% chance of each score. Blue Levante win, grey draw, amber Atletico Madrid win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Atletico Madrid’s strong away performance (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) and high goal ratio (9 scored, 5 conceded) compared to Levante’s inconsistent home defense (10 conceded in 4 matches).
2Levante’s home attacking capability (13 scored in 4 matches) versus Atletico’s defensive solidity (4 clean sheets away).
3Atletico’s overall superiority in scoring (19 goals) and conceding (8 goals) across all matches, reflecting a more balanced team compared to Levante’s higher concession rate (17 goals in 9 matches).
4Levante’s tendency to fail to score (3 times) at home, which could hinder their chances against Atletico’s defensive structure.
5The statistical model’s emphasis on Atletico’s attack and defense metrics relative to league averages, which heavily favor their likelihood of winning.
The statistical model favors Atletico Madrid due to their dominant away performance and superior attacking and defensive metrics compared to Levante. Atletico’s away record (4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss) and ability to score 9 goals while conceding only 5 in 5 matches highlight their consistency and effectiveness on the road. Levante, despite scoring 13 goals at home, has conceded 10, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that Atletico’s strong away defense (4 clean sheets) could exploit. The expected goals (2.3 for Atletico vs. 1.9 for Levante) align with these trends, suggesting Atletico’s attacking efficiency and Levante’s defensive frailties. The most likely score (1-2) reflects Atletico’s higher probability of scoring while limiting Levante’s chances. However, Levante’s home form includes 2 wins and 1 draw, which could provide confidence for a surprise result if they capitalize on Atletico’s occasional defensive lapses or maintain a clean sheet.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →