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Lecce vs Genoa - Serie A prediction, preview and lineups

Serie ASerie A
Round 10
Lecce logoLecce(Pos. 12)
VS
1 Nov 202617:00
Genoa logoGenoa(Pos. 17)

1 Nov 2026, 17:00

Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
2-1
Confidence
Low41%
Result probabilities
41%Lecce
27%Draw
32%Genoa

Expected goals 1.5 – 1.3

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%)
Genoa goals
012345+
Lecce goals077521
1813831
279631
33431
4121
5+11

% chance of each score. Blue Lecce win, grey draw, amber Genoa win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Lecce's home attacking efficiency (4 goals in 3 games) versus Genoa's away defensive frailty (5 goals conceded in 3 games).
2Lecce's inconsistent home defense (8 goals conceded in 3 games) creating opportunities for Genoa.
3Genoa's lack of away goals (1 scored in 3 games) limiting their chances to score.
4Lecce's current form (WLLWLLW) showing sporadic wins that could boost confidence.
5Genoa's failure to score in 3 of their 7 games, indicating a recurring issue in converting chances.
The model's prediction favors Lecce due to their stronger home performance relative to Genoa's dire away record. Lecce has scored 4 goals in 3 home games, averaging 1.33 per game, while Genoa has managed only 1 goal in 3 away matches, averaging 0.33 per game. This stark contrast in attacking efficiency at home and away suggests Lecce are more likely to create and convert chances. However, Lecce's home defense has been inconsistent, conceding 8 goals in those same 3 games, which could allow Genoa to capitalize on defensive lapses. Genoa's overall poor form (LLLDLWL) and lack of away goals (1 scored in 3 games) make a win unlikely, but their recent draw (L) and 3 failed attempts to score may hint at occasional resilience. A draw remains plausible if Lecce's defense fails to hold firm or if Genoa's limited away attacking options result in a low-scoring game.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →