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Kocaelispor vs Rizespor - Süper Lig prediction, preview and lineups

Süper LigSüper Lig
Round 10
Kocaelispor logoKocaelispor(Pos. 8)
VS
31 Oct 202613:00
Rizespor logoRizespor(Pos. 12)

31 Oct 2026, 13:00

Turka Arac Muayene Kocaeli Stadyumu, Izmit

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-0
Confidence
Low40%
Result probabilities
40%Kocaelispor
31%Draw
29%Rizespor

Expected goals 1.2 – 1.0

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%)
Rizespor goals
012345+
Kocaelispor goals0121052
11214721
28841
33321
4111
5+

% chance of each score. Blue Kocaelispor win, grey draw, amber Rizespor win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Kocaelispor’s home defensive record (3 clean sheets, 2 goals conceded in 4 games) compared to Rizespor’s away defensive weaknesses (5 goals conceded in 5 games).
2Rizespor’s away attacking consistency (8 goals in 5 games) versus Kocaelispor’s home scoring reliability (6 goals in 4 games).
3Kocaelispor’s tendency to fail to score in 2 of their 8 games, which could create opportunities for Rizespor if their attack capitalizes.
4The expected goal differential (1.2-1.0) reflecting Kocaelispor’s slight edge in home attack and Rizespor’s moderate away threat.
5Rizespor’s 3 away games without a goal, indicating potential vulnerability in converting chances against a strong home side like Kocaelispor.
The statistical model favors Kocaelispor due to their strong home performance, reflected in their 3 wins from 4 home games this season, scoring 6 goals while conceding only 2. Their home defense has been particularly solid, with 3 clean sheets, which contrasts with Rizespor’s away record of 5 games where they conceded 5 goals. Rizespor’s away form is inconsistent, with 3 games where they failed to score, suggesting vulnerability in attacking situations when traveling. Kocaelispor’s expected goals (1.2) slightly edge Rizespor’s (1.0), aligning with their home dominance and Rizespor’s away struggles. However, Rizespor’s away attack (8 goals in 5 games) could challenge Kocaelispor’s defense, which has conceded 2 goals in 4 home matches, though not excessively. A draw remains plausible if Rizespor’s attacking efficiency offsets Kocaelispor’s home advantage, or if Kocaelispor’s occasional failure to score (2 games without a goal) repeats.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →