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FC Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig - Bundesliga prediction, preview and lineups

BundesligaBundesliga
Round 8
FC Schalke 04 logoFC Schalke 04(Pos. 15)
VS
31 Oct 202614:30
RB Leipzig logoRB Leipzig(Pos. 7)

31 Oct 2026, 14:30

Veltins Arena, Gelsenkirchen

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AI Pre-Match Analysis

Score Prediction
1-0
Confidence
Medium58%
Result probabilities
58%FC Schalke 04
26%Draw
16%RB Leipzig

Expected goals 1.6 – 0.7

Score probabilities
Most likely: 1-0 (14%), 2-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%)
RB Leipzig goals
012345+
FC Schalke 04 goals010631
1141241
213931
3752
4321
5+11

% chance of each score. Blue FC Schalke 04 win, grey draw, amber RB Leipzig win; darker is likelier. Outlined: our predicted score.

Key Factors
1Schalke’s home defense (2 clean sheets in 3 games) versus Leipzig’s away conceded goals (11 in 3 games).
2Schalke’s ability to score at home (0 goals in 3 games) compared to Leipzig’s away scoring (2 goals in 3 games).
3The expected goal difference (1.6 vs 0.7) highlighting Schalke’s projected offensive edge.
4Schalke’s overall form (LDWDLL) and Leipzig’s inconsistent results (WLWLWL).
5Leipzig’s failure to score in only 1 of their 6 matches, suggesting their attack may still pose a threat despite poor away defense.
The statistical model favors FC Schalke 04 winning due to their home advantage and RB Leipzig’s poor away performance. Schalke’s home record, while not strong in terms of goals scored (0 in 3 games), includes 2 clean sheets, suggesting their defense may be more resilient at home. Conversely, RB Leipzig’s away record is dire, with 11 goals conceded in 3 matches, indicating a significant defensive vulnerability when playing away. The expected goals (1.6 for Schalke, 0.7 for Leipzig) align with this, as Schalke’s attack is projected to be more effective at home, while Leipzig’s away defense is likely to struggle. The most likely score of 1-0 reflects Schalke’s potential to capitalize on Leipzig’s defensive lapses without needing to score multiple goals. However, Schalke’s failure to score in 4 of their last 6 matches could lead to a draw if they again struggle to convert chances, while Leipzig’s attacking prowess (16 goals overall) might briefly threaten a comeback if their defense improves slightly.
How accurate are our predictions? See the record →